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3.10 Goodwood – GM Hopkins
GM Hopkins may have only scored by a neck last time out, but in doing so he put 29 rivals to the sword, and looks on an upwards curve. The victory at Ascot was the second time he had scored in a big field and the fast pace and hustle and bustle seems to suit very well. He looks overpriced at 11/1 12.00 +1100 11.00 11.00 -0.09 .
Richard Hughes hasn’t got many rides left before he retires and he takes over from injury stricken Ryan Moore. The partnership is very much likely to suit with G M Hopkins seemingly best ridden with confidence.
John Gosden’s record with his 4 year old+ last time out winners in handicaps is very impressive; 40/121 (33.06%), producing £75.59 LSP and an A/E of 1.61. The horse has won under a variety of conditions and seems very versatile. A strong pace is likely to suit well and he should be moving very smoothly approaching the 2 furlong marker.
The favourite comes in the form of rapid improver Basem from the Saeed Bin Suroor yard. Has looked progressive in winning last two starts after tracking the leaders, but does seem a little short given how competitive the race looks. All things considered, GM Hopkins should nearly be favourite based on recent form and how the race is likely to work out, and therefore the odds of 11/1 12.00 +1100 11.00 11.00 -0.09 about him winning look very generous.
5.15 Thirsk – Indego Blues
David Nicholls does well in these types of races and Indego Blues has shown signs of bouncing back to form. A course and distance winner with a good apprentice jockey up, he has a very solid chance of success.
Anna Hesketh is one of the best apprentice jockeys around and she has built up a rapport with the horse, with a win and two places from their last three starts. Trainer Nicholls does very well with his runners in apprentice/amateur sprint races; 54/313 (17.25%) for £36.76 LSP, giving an A/E of 1.38. The horse has won a Class 4 contest over course and distance off a mark of 70, and this track should suit better than the stiff finish at Hamilton.
Lazy Days In Loule is the favourite, but she is a 3 year old filly facing older male horses and the contests she has been running in have been weaker than this.
Tips Summary (31st July)
5.15 Thirsk – Indego Blues – 4/1 5.00 +400 4.00 4.00 -0.25 Ladbrokes