Gabrial to romp home at Wolverhampton

2015-03-19

Richard Fahey’s 5 year old Azamour gelding had clicked into form in a big way recently, winning last three starts. Began his winning run off a mark of 54, and competes off 11lbs higher today at 65 (the ceiling rating for this grade), but strikes as a horse who only just does enough. A hallmark of his running style in the sequence has been propensity to travel strongly close to the pace and go on at the top of the straight, repelling all comers. Has shifted left under pressure, but that doesn’t stop him going forward and there is the strong suspicion that the horse does just enough to win. Beat Raging Bear by ¾ length the last day, and is 3lbs worse off at the weights which theoretically should be enough to reverse the form, but James Evans horse hasn’t always looked entirely straightforward.

Sexy Secret is likely to make the running dropped in trip and could get it ‘easy’ upfront. That being said, he should give the selection something to aim at, which is a bonus.

Richard Fahey does well with his last time out winners turning out within 1-4 weeks on the all-weather and does especially well when they are competing in Class 5 or 6. Have Gabrial The Thug in at 7/4 2.75 +175 1.75 1.75 -0.57 , and therefore his odds of 5/2 3.50 +250 2.50 2.50 -0.40  with Bet365 and WilliamHill look attractive.

Tips Summary

Gabrial The Thug Win
19th March 16:25 GMT
Odds:  5/2 3.50 +250 2.50 2.50 -0.40
Where to Bet: Bet365, WilliamHill