3.00 Nottingham – Captain Scooby
Captain Scooby is getting long in the tooth, but he turned back the clock last time out and off a 4lb higher mark than last time out, has a great chance of following up in a weak contest.
The bare 5 furlongs seems to be a little short for Captain Scooby, and he appreciated the step back up to 6 furlongs at Windsor last time out when getting up late in the day. Does drop back to 5 furlongs, which wouldn’t be ideal on paper, but the soft underfoot conditions will suit. Has won over course and distance back in August and clearly relishes the straight 5 furlongs at the course.
Captain Scooby is likely to be towards the rear and should trade plenty bigger than his starting price in the run, but will be finishing strongly and this race doesn’t look the best.
7.10 Kempton – Fire Fighting
Fire Fighting has turned a corner and has improved in his last two starts, winning on both occasions. Mark Johnston’s 4 year old gelding looks to make it a hat-trick and with the son of Soldier Of Fortune in such great form, he has a great chance despite not being the best in at the weights.
Throughout his career, Fire Fighting has generally been very consistent, regularly winning and making the frame. Over this summer, he slightly lost his way and dropped a few pounds in the weights as a result. Bounced back to form at Chelmsford in no uncertain terms, beating rival Grendisar and 5 other rivals. Showed that run was no fluke when demolishing a field in a Listed contest at Dundalk by 5 lengths. Received 7lbs from Grendisar that day, and now has to give Marco Botti’s runner 5lbs, so there is a 12lb overall swing, which should suggest that Botti’s horse should turn the tables. Added to the swing in the weights, Grendisar won this corresponding race last year, beating Fire Fighting is the process. With that being said though, Grendisar hasn’t been the same horse this term and Fire Fighting appears to have improved in recent times. At the odds, Mark Johnston’s runner looks the value.
Dartmouth is likely to be the two aforementioned runners’ main competition. Sir Michael Stoute’s 3 year old has yet to run on the all-weather, but has a progressive profile on turf. However, he has been off for 2 months and faces some all-weather specialists.
Tips Summary (4th November)
3.00 Nottingham – Captain Scooby – +500 – Ladbrokes
7.10 Kempton – Fire Fighting – +333 – Bet365
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