Apprentice handicap can often be messy affairs, with young jockeys often misjudging the pace and having sub-optimal track position. While there is often the risk for a falsely run race and strange results, backing a talented jockey in an apprentice race can be a profitable strategy, as the rider may be levels above his peers. Tom Marquand is one of those promising young riders, and his consistent mount, Falsify looks to have a great chance of getting back in the winning groove. The 3 year old filly has run well on a number of occasions over course and distance and from a decent low draw, she rates as a solid favourite.
Robert Cowell, the maestro of training sprinters, brought along Falsify in her first few starts. She didn’t trouble the judge, but ran with credit and was allotted an opening handicap mark of 57. Her improvement came once Cowell decided to drop the daughter of Compton Place from 6 furlong to the minimum and add the visor, and following on from a win at Chelmsford, she has since gone on to finish second at the track twice. Might be moving up the weights, but the track definitely suits, she is a front runner and has a good stall. 3 year olds tend to outperform their elders in sprinting contests in the months of November and December and at odds of 5/23.50+2502.502.50-0.40, she looks sure to go close.
6.10 Chelmsford – Famous Kid
Godolphin look to hold all of the aces in the 0-105 Class 2 handicap at Chelmsford and at slightly bigger odds, Famous Kid looks to be the value bet.
Saeed Bin Suroor brings back his 4 year old son of Street Cry from a 118 day absence. Back in the summer, the good looking colt finished down the field in some valuable staying handicaps. Switches back to the all-weather and breeding suggests that the artificial surfaces are likely to be his preference. The Newmarket trainer does particularly well when bringing his runners back to handicap company on the back of an absence, and with useful claimer Kevin Stott taking off a valuable 3lbs, he looks to be on a very workable mark.
The competition comes in the form of Anglophile. A proven and consistent all-weather performer, he returns from a 217 day break. Hasn’t looked a superstar, but instead a grinder who will continue to improve with age. Unlike Bin Suroor, Charlie Appleby rarely has his horses fully wound up first time back, and for that reason he is passed over.
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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