1.50 Lingfield – Candella
There are 12 runners in the 10 furlong Class 5 handicap at Lingfield but only a few of the entries have a realistic chance, and Candella, Roger Varian’s 3 year old Stimulation filly looks to have an outstanding opportunity to get back to winning ways. Denied by the narrowest margin last time out, she should appreciate the return to the all-weather and will benefit from the drop in trip.
Candella didn’t cut much ice in her first 3 starts. She was 8.0 on debut but after showing very little, she went off at big double figure odds on her second and third start. Was given 8 months off and returned a different animal, going off a 3.0 favourite on handicap debut at Lingfield over 10 furlongs, winning despite stumbling early on in the contest. She had clearly flourished and grown over the winter and in to the summer and looked to be well ahead of her handicap mark. Went off favourite next time at Haydock, but seemed to struggle on the soft ground. Again went off favourite on her next run at Windsor over an extended 11.5 furlongs and was denied by the narrowest of margins. Is now rated 70, but returning to the scene of her victory, she should really be very competitive.
Second favourite Mr Pickwick makes his all-weather debut. Pedigree doesn’t scream that he is likely to be at home on the artificial surface, but James Fanshawe is a maestro and his runners always have to be respected.
2.20 Lingfield – Desert Snow
Desert Snow has been dropped 1lb to a mark of 100 after being beaten 8 lengths into second place last time out, but the winner of that race has subsequently gone very close in Group 1 company, and this intermediate trip of 13 furlongs could turn out to be ideal.
Saeed Bin Suroor’s son of Teofilo has a fantastic record on the all-weather – 3 wins and a 2nd from 4 starts and the return to the all-weather is a big positive. He has won both over 12 furlongs and 16 furlongs on the all-weather and 13 furlongs is likely to suit. Is drawn in stall 11 and is likely to sit fairly prominent before striking on the home turn. This Fillies Listed race is fairly weak and Desert Snow really should be able to capitalise on the less demanding competition than she faced last time out.
California is rated 7lbs lower but is surprisingly favourite for the John Gosden yard. She has only had 3 runs and could well have more to come, but hasn’t raced on the all-weather yet and looks too short.
Tips Summary (29th October)
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