2.30 Beverley – Cotton Camera
First Bombardment goes into this 2 year old maiden as the most experienced runner, with two previous efforts under his belt. Ran a very good race on debut in the Brocklesby, but failed to match that next time out when readily brushed aside by a newcomer at Musselburgh. Has stall 10 to overcome, and while he may be a sharp young horse, doesn’t seem anything too special.
Cotton Camera is the selection for the Richard Fahey yard. This filly is by first season sire Lilbourne Lad, who has already had a winner from just 2 runners. Trainer Fahey is 13/55 with first time out 2 year olds in April in the last 10 years, producing a profit of £7 and an A/E of 1.34. Furthermore, he excels with his debutant juveniles over 5f, working at 59/276 (21.4%) for £194 LSP for an ultra-impressive A/E of 1.60. Which course does Fahey have the best record with his 2 year old newcomers at? You guessed it – Beverley. In the last 10 years, he is 12/54 with newcomers (22%) for a £34 LSP and an A/E of 1.82. Drawn stall 7, this filly gets a useful 5lbs off the colt and has to be a bet at 5.0, just based on the strong statistics for the yard.
5.10 Newmarket – Storm The Stars
William Haggas’ Sea The Stars colt looks to have a great opportunity in the 10f maiden at Newmarket. Ridden by Richard Hughes, the step up in trip looks sure to suit and although there are some interesting rivals, the +175 on offer seems more than fair.
After very respectable second on racecourse debut at Newmarket, Storm The Stars went into his second run at Nottingham as a strong favourite. He was mowed down by a John Gosden runner who looks to have bundles of ability, but still managed to battle back making it close at the line. There is plenty of cause to think that the Haggas runner can step up plenty on that run this time around. Firstly, the step up from 8f to 10f is sure to bring about improvement if the horse’s pedigree is anything to go by. Secondly, albeit from a limited sample size, the Sea The Stars offspring improve significantly from 2 to 3 and anything they do in their first season is usually a bonus.
William Haggas 3 year olds in maiden company between January-July, who have not run for more than 8+ weeks and have had a maximum of 2 starts, have a great record; 48/147 (32.7%) for £78 LSP, giving an A/E of 1.36, which is another statistic in the selections favour.
Tips Summary – 15th April
Cotton Camera – 2.30 Beverley – +400 – Bet365
Storm The Stars – 5.10 Newmarket – +175 – PaddyPower
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