Collosium to send the rest crashing down

2015-04-11

2.15 Newcastle – Collosium

Although the Grand National dominates the public’s attention on Saturday, there look to be a few decent value runners elsewhere, with Collosium being one of them.

Running in a 6f 3 year old + maiden at Newcastle, Michael Dods inmate looks to be fair value at 3/1 4.00 +300 3.00 3.00 -0.33  with Bet365. The son of Showcasing has had just one racecourse start to date, and finished a fair third in a reasonable Ripon maiden. Has been given just under a year off since then, but assuming there has been nothing amiss, should really be favourite for this contest – the two horses that beat him on debut went on to prove themselves quite useful.

The step up in trip should suit and the layoff should be of no concern – Michael Dods 3 year olds running in maidens, who have been off the track for 150+ days are 10/57 with a further 10 places for £14 LSP, giving an A/E of 1.64. Furthermore, he is 11/40 with his 3 year olds at Newcastle in the last 5 years.

The market leader Bahamian Sunrise also returns from a long absence and is more exposed having had 5 starts to date. Has been consistent, finishing in the money on last four runs, but doesn’t look a world beater and a few more placed efforts in future would have to raise concerns about this one’s resolution.

Tips Summary

Collosium Win – 2.15 Newcastle – 3/1 4.00 +300 3.00 3.00 -0.33  – Bet365