If ever there were an impressive last time out winner, it is Clubland. Well backed and with K Fallon in the saddle, Roy Bowring’s Red Clubs gelding was climbing up the back up the front runners in a 6f handicap 2 furlongs from home. He had to be switched around the whole field and came with a withering run to score by nearly 5 lengths. Has gone up 8lbs for that race, but the manner which he won suggests that the horse can handle that rise.
A quick turnout should be seen as a positive, as Clubland is 4/10 when turned out within 7 days. Furthermore, Roy Bowring horses returning within 7 days, carrying no penalty and 11.0 or shorter have a fantastic record; 28/78 (35.9%) for £60.30 LSP, giving an A/E of 1.95.
This is undoubtedly a more difficult race, and there doesn’t look to be a huge amount of pace on, but Clubland has only had one start with Fallon and there could definitely be more to come. 333/1004.33+3333.333.33-0.30 seems a fair price, but getting on with a best odds guaranteed bookmaker is advisable to take advantage if there is any drift.
4.05 Haydock – Resonant
Mark Johnston has recently hit form after having a fruitless couple of weeks, and he may be able to strike with handicap debutant Resonant.
The son of Cape Cross has had the requisite 3 runs to obtain a handicap rating and has since been given a 200 day break. Mark Johnston 3 year olds, had 3 runs, switching from maiden to handicap company and off for 90+ days are 24/107 (22.43%) for £46.10 LSP, giving a 1.43 A/E.
Resonant made a promising debut to his career, but his form showed a regressive look in the next two starts. Final run was on soft ground, and that can be forgiven, as the horse is unlikely to have been suited by soft underfoot conditions (by Cape Cross).
Franny Norton has been booked and Johnston has a 17% strike rate with his 3 year olds in recent years at Haydock. Likely to sit handy and make most of stamina in his pedigree. There is plenty of competition, with Spryt coming into the race with two recent 2nds suggesting his turn is not far away.
An opening mark of 72 doesn’t look too generous, but at odds of 11/26.50+5505.505.50-0.18, there is enough juice in the price to take a chance that Resonant is better than he has shown so far.
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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