Jim Boyle’s runner has been admirably consistent in recent times, and finally got her due reward when taking a 4 runner contest over 9.5f at Wolverhampton. The fear was that the trip may have stretched the Dylan Thomas mare, but she cruised into contention and produced a nice turn of foot to put things to bed. Really should benefit from dropping back in trip, although wouldn’t want it to be an absolute crawl (may go on?). Penultimate run was a close up 4th at Lingfield, when racing in class 3 company, and competes in a class 5 event this time around.
Main market rival appears to be Queen Aggie who appears to be a hard luck horse. She should have no issues with that when competing in just 4 runner field, and receives 9lbs from the selection. That being said, does seem to find trouble and although again extremely consistent, may be better back in a strongly run 7f (has won over 8.5f at Wolverhampton before previously though).
Sonnetation is in fine form and J Boyle is 11/36 (31%) with his last time out winners carrying a 6lb penalty, producing a £3 LSP and an A/E of 1.31. She is the selection down in class.
5.00 Chelmsford – My Strategy
When looking at this race, the eye is immediately drawn to the favourite, the James Tate trained Clampdown. Had amassed a series of respectable place efforts prior to last run, when he was heavily backed returning from a mini break. Duly obliged, scoring going away despite racing awkwardly and hanging under pressure. That was a fairly impressive run, and manages to stay in 0-65 company, but does have to shoulder a 6lb penalty. Evidently thought better than his mark at home and likely to race prominently, but at 2.50 with WilliamHill, does look a little cramped.
The value on paper sits with the Michael Bell trained My Strategy. This horse has had 3 runs without winning, and has been allotted a handicap mark of 64. Has useful claimer Louis Steward on board, who relieves the Strategic Prince gelding of 3lbs. Went from the front on debut when an unfancied 66/1 shot, but performed with credit and was duly sent off 3/1 for his second start, but flopped in the heavy ground. Third run was over 7f at Kempton and was a typical third run for a handicap – dropped out the back, given a ‘considerate’ ride, before staying on after it was all over. That trip would have been inadequate and will appreciate the return to the mile. Michael Bell has a more than fair record with his 3 year olds switching from the maiden to the flat and this one’s pedigree suggests that he will be better as a 3 year old than at 2. The sire also has a better record on the all-weather than turf, so sticking to this surface could be a wise move.
Any market support would be very interesting, and in a 7 runner field, odds of 7/24.50+3503.503.50-0.29 with SkyBet appeal, as this one is completely unexposed.
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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