Blind Faith to Lead Rivals Home at Yarmouth

Blind faith is a value bet at Yarmouth on Wednesday.

3.30 Yarmouth – Blind Faith

Blind Faith put in a mixed bag of performances last year, but some of her efforts were promising, and on her seasonal reappearance at Yarmouth, she has been overlooked by the bookmakers. Luca Cumani’s 4 year old Zoffany filly makes her seasonal reappearance and is partnered by Adam Kirby.

Blind Faith won on debut at Chelmsford after being well supported and she followed that up with a strong performance at Sandown next time out. Didn’t live up to that form in her next three runs, but she has been off since October and Luca Cumani is likely to have freshened this filly up. Cumani does very well with his handicappers returning from an extended absence; runners off for 90+ days and returning April onwards are 91/395 (23%) for £79 LSP, with the horses winning 33% more often than they are entitled to based on odds.

There is an odds on favourite in the race in the form of In Ken’s Memory. Michael Appleby’s runner won last time out but that form is just moderate and she is a little short in the betting. Blind Faith can be backed at odds of +450  with Bet365 and BetVictor.

6.40 Kempton – Madeleine Bond

Fillies maidens aren’t the strongest of affairs, and after having a very quick glance, one would think that the Roger Varian trained Margherita is a penalty kick. The filly has finished third on both of her starts, once last season and once at the start of May. However, a closer look at the race will reveal that there are some credible threats to the odds on market leader, and one of those runners who could give the favourite trouble is the Henry Candy trained Madeleine Bond.

Once raced last term, this filly did not disgrace herself and she could have more to offer. With the Varian horse making the market, there are some juicy prices to be had about the other runners, and Madeleine Bond can be supported at generous odds of +1000  with Coral and William Hill. She does have to improve plenty, but should be able to do so.

Henry Candy isn’t renowned for having first time out 2 year old winners, and when they are going well on the gallops, the market is typically reflective of his horse’s chances. Madeleine Bond went off at odds of +2000  so clearly not too much was expected from the horse – but she ran with credit, finishing 7th of 15, beaten just shy of 8 lengths. The winner of that race has gone on to show good form in Group company, so the form holds up. She has been off for 11 months, so connections have clearly been patient with this filly, and she should reward their methodological approach. The debut run was over 6 furlongs, and the step up to 7 furlongs should suit.

Candy’s horses do very well second time out as 3 year olds when they have been off the track for over 150+ days; 8/33 (24%) for £45 LSP, giving an A/E of +141 . What those results tell us, is that his 3 year olds can win at big prices when returning from a lengthy break. At the odds, she can be backed each-way.

Tips Summary

15:30 Yarmouth – Blind Faith to win
Wednesday 24th May
Odds:  +450

18:40 Kempton – Madeleine Bond each way
Wednesday 24th May
Odds:  +1000

Blind Faith
Horse Racing Tips
Madeleine Bond
Yarmouth racecourse

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