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3.45 Nottingham – Arthenus
The 49/20 3.45 +245 2.45 2.45 -0.41 1 mile maiden at Nottingham is an intriguing race and looks a two horse contest on paper. Preference is for the James Fanshawe runner Arthenus, who is the most experienced runner in the line-up and boasts the best form.
After finishing a relatively respectable 8th on debut at Kempton, the son of Dutch Art stepped up plenty on that form second time up at Doncaster, finishing 3rd in a decent maiden. Subsequently went off favourite at Newmarket but disappointed. The three runs qualified James Fanshawe’s runner for a handicap mark, and he was allotted 85. His first run in handicap company was the best yet – a second place finish behind a progressive Simon Crisford runner. Reverts to maiden company and this looks much easier than task last time out, with just 4 runners in opposition. James Fanshawe’s 3 year old maiden runners who are off for 6-12 weeks do very well; 22/82 (26.83%) for £50.88 LSP, giving an A/E 1.49.
The main market rival is Richard Hannon’s Tawdeea. After a quiet debut run, he stepped up plenty second time out, finishing a close up second in a good race. May have been slightly flattered by proximity to winner last time out, but is definitely a horse with potential. Is not quite as battle hardened as Fanshawe’s runner though, and the form of that one last time out gives him the edge.
6.00 Newmarket – Fever Few, Stake Acclaim
There may be 14 runners in a competitive looking handicap at Newmarket, but there are two that stand out to us here at SBO Racing – Fever Few and Stake Acclaim. Backing two horses in a race is certainly a tactic that can be rewarding, especially if both runners represent value at their odds.
Fever Few is a last time out winner from the Chris Wall yard. Confidently ridden by George Baker, the 6 year old mare got up late in the day over 7 furlongs at Lingfield. The drop in trip should not be a concern, as that track is sharp and the small field did not play into her hands, so really she did well to win. The bigger field and faster pace will negate the drop to 6 furlongs, and there could be plenty more to come. Chris Wall does very well when using claiming jockeys on his older horses (4 year old+); they are 44/237 (18.57%) for £91.86 LSP, giving an A/E of 1.61.
Stake Acclaim has a different profile to Fever Few, but has an equally sound chance. An unexposed 3 year old colt, the son of Acclamation looked very promising on third start last season when dispatching 11 other runners in style at Doncaster. Ran poorly at Kempton on comeback run, proving free to post and in the race, before weakening over 7 furlongs. Has to be forgiven that run and likely that he will not be so fresh this time. Dean Ivory 3 year olds racing in all age handicaps over 9 furlongs or less are 20/134 (14.93%) for £93 LSP, giving an A/E 1.97 and Stake Acclaim could still be well treated.
Tips Summary (14th August)