Qualifying for the UEFA Champions League is in Liverpool’s own hands and one thinks that the Reds will have too much firepower for Southampton to handle at Anfield on Sunday.
Southampton is ninth on the English Premier League ladder and Liverpool, while it has dropped stupid points against several of the division’s lesser lights, has not lost to a team ranked higher than 10th. This weekend’s English Premier League game means everything to Liverpool, whereas one would forgive Southampton’s players for having one foot on a beach somewhere considerably warmer than Merseyside. Liverpool and Southampton drew 0-0 in the reverse English Premier League fixture five months ago and, according to one’s collateral form analysis, the Reds enjoy a 13-1-5 advantage over the Saints, including an 8-0-0 lead when one only counts matches featuring sides on the top half of the ladder.
Several bookmakers, including Coral, Ladbrokes and SkyBet, are offering odds of -161 about Liverpool not dropping its guard and beating Southampton. One would much rather back Liverpool those odds to defeat Southampton than take shorter prices about either Tottenham triumphing at West Ham or Hull posting a home victory over relegated Sunderland.
Southampton eliminated Liverpool from the English Football League Cup but the Saints have gone downhill since their key defender, Virgil van Dijk, sustained his season-ending ankle injury in January. It speaks volumes for the mediocrity of the English Premier League that Southampton is above the fold in ninth place but its goal difference is minus five.
Bournemouth is worth an interest at odds of +121 with 188Bet to get the better of a Stoke team that has a lot in common with Southampton. Stoke is 12th on the English Premier League ladder and it has not registered a win in any of its 19 games versus higher ranked sides – the Potters are 0-7-12 in their matches against Chelsea, Tottenham, Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United, Arsenal, Everton, West Bromwich, Southampton, Bournemouth and Leicester.
According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, Bournemouth trails Stoke 7-3-9 so one cannot say that the Cherries should be shorter odds than the +121 , but they are in better form than the Potters and they won November’s reverse fixture 1-0.
One’s third and final English Premier League pick is the negative option on the both-teams-to-score market for Saturday’s game between Burnley and West Bromwich – BetVictor is offering odds of -115 that at least one of the Clarets and the Baggies fails to find the back of the net.
Burnley has failed to score in 12 of its 35 English Premier League matches and there has been at least one clean sheet in 19 of those games. West Bromwich has failed to score in 14 of its 34 English Premier League matches and there has been at least one clean sheet in 18 of those games. The reverse English Premier League fixture, which took place at The Hawthorns in November, ended in a 4-0 West Bromwich win.
Both Burnley and West Bromwich have rewarded punters who bet on under two and a half goals more often than not in their respective English Premier League matches but, with the Clarets as good as safe from relegation and the Baggies in capable of finishing higher than its current eighth placing, one is a little bit concerned that the Turf Moor clash could result in a blowout. That is why one is more inclined to bet on at least one clean sheet than under two and a half goals.
Liverpool to beat Southampton
Sunday 7th May, 13:30 GMT
Bournemouth to beat Stoke
Saturday 6th May, 15:00 GMT
Burnley v West Brom – Both teams to score NO
Saturday 6th May, 15:00 GMT
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