There are rock-solid cases for backing Liverpool and Chelsea to post English Premier League wins over Crystal Palace and Southampton respectively in the 34th round of games.
Collateral form analysis is the keystone in one’s English Premier League betting once the season is up and running and, according to one’s number crunching, it is impossible to ignore the claims of Liverpool and Chelsea even at relatively short odds to post important home victories.
According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, Liverpool holds a 17-2-0 advantage over Crystal Palace. Furthermore, Liverpool has outperformed Crystal Palace in their respective English Premier League games against teams in the top 13, which is quite remarkable. Liverpool has dropped some soft English Premier League points and few softer than the three that they gifted Swansea at Anfield in January. But one does not expect Crystal Palace to trouble Liverpool, not least because Eagles manager Sam Allardyce is known for targeting home matches in relegation scraps and not spending too much time and energy on away games to high-ranking opponents.
Liverpool has won each of its last two games versus Crystal Palace – both of them at Selhurst Park – including October’s reverse English Premier League fixture. Liverpool defeated Crystal Palace 4-2 six months ago, twice giving away early leads before pulling away from the Eagles later on.
Several bookmakers, including Betfair, BetVictor and SkyBet, are offering odds of -189 about Crystal Palace becoming Liverpool’s 12th English Premier League victim at Anfield and that rates as the best wager of the round.
According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, Chelsea’s edge over Southampton is almost as big as Liverpool’s lead over Crystal Palace – it is 16-2-1. Moreover, guess against which team that Southampton has outperformed Chelsea? It is the English Premier League’s bottom side and relegation certainty, Sunderland.
Seven English Premier League teams are head and shoulders above their peers and, versus Chelsea, Tottenham, Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United, Everton and Arsenal, Southampton is 1-2-7 in its 10 matches against them. With Chelsea needed three home points to maintain its English Premier League lead over Tottenham, one is happy to back the Blues at odds of -250 with numerous bookmakers, including BetVictor, Ladbrokes and Marathonbet, to win on Tuesday.
West Ham is as good as safe from English Premier League relegation and some pundits have attributed the Hammers being towards the bottom of the ladder on their London Stadium home form. But one does not buy into that because West Ham is 6-1-0 in its seven English Premier League home games versus lower ranked opponents compared to 0-2-7 against higher ranked rivals at its new ground. One thinks that West Ham’s problem is that, frankly, it is not as good as some pundits think that it is. West Ham is 20 English Premier League points behind Everton and deservedly so.
According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, Everton enjoys a 12-3-4 advantage over West Ham and it was more stark until one went through the results featuring sides near the bottom of the ladder. Marathonbet is offering odds of +128 about Everton, which beat West Ham 2-0 at Goodison Park when the teams met in the English Premier League earlier this season, completing the double.
Liverpool to beat Crystal Palace
Sunday 23rd April, 16:30 BST
Chelsea to beat Southampton
Tuesday 25th April, 19:45 BST
Everton to beat West Ham
Saturday 22nd April, 15:00 BST