Backing both teams to score when English Premier League leader Leicester entertains top-four hopeful West Ham on Sunday is the best bet on the weekend’s 10-game program.
For the first time in weeks bookmakers are not offering over the odds about a Leicester victory because they seem to have reached the conclusion – finally – that the Foxes are the real deal. Nine points from Leicester’s last five English Premier League matches and the Foxes will be champions no matter what Tottenham achieves in its remaining games.
One does not want to back Leicester to beat West Ham because the Hammers are one of the English Premier League’s best teams – only the Foxes and Tottenham have lost fewer games than Slaven Bilic’s side – but having a punt on both teams scoring makes great appeal from a statistic perspective.
Leicester has scored in 30 of its 33 English Premier League matches, which is the best record in the division. Leicester has kept five English Premier League clean sheets in a row but the Foxes have ridden their luck during that sequence and Kasper Schmeichel is long overdue picking the ball out of the back of his net. West Ham has scored 27 of its 32 English Premier League games, which is the competition’s second finest record. West Ham has scored in each of its seven English Premier League matches versus top-four sides and both teams have netted in five of those seven games.
Several bookmakers, including Betfred, Coral and Totesport, are offering odds of -125 about both Leicester and West Ham scoring at the King Power Stadium and, in view of the data, that strikes one as being generous. West Ham is the type of side that is not going to die wondering so one is expecting the Hammers to exhibit a fair degree of adventure against a Leicester team that is brilliant transitioning from defence to attack. August’s reverse English Premier League fixture resulted in a 2-1 win for Leicester at the Boleyn Ground.
Aston Villa has given up the ghost and one expects that the Villans will be relegated from the English Premier League on Saturday after losing at Manchester United without scoring.
Rudy Gestede’s 79th-minute consolation versus Everton on 1 March was Aston Villa’s latest English Premier League goal, with the Villans succumbing to Manchester City, Tottenham, Swansea, Chelsea and Bournemouth without scoring in their subsequent five matches. Only Tottenham has conceded fewer English Premier League goals than Manchester United and the Red Devils have the stingiest home defensive numbers of all.
Manchester United defeated Aston Villa 1-0 at Villa Park in August and Paddy Power‘s odds of -137 about the Red Devils winning to nil over the Villans again stands out from the crowd. Aston Villa was one of the worst English Premier League teams ever and that was before it stopped trying.
West Bromwich and Watford have been kind to punters of under two and a half goals in more English Premier League games than any of their top-flight rivals and, therefore, odds of -175 with Marathonbet and William Hill about their Saturday match failing to exceed that line are attractive.
Nineteen of West Bromwich’s 32 English Premier League games have gone under two and a half goals, including eight of its 16 home matches. Eighteen of Watford’s 32 English Premier League games have gone under two and a half goals, including eight of its 15 away matches. West Bromwich drew 0-0 at Watford when they met earlier in the English Premier League.
Finally, here are one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis results for every one of Round 34’s 10 games. The asterisk signifies the direct head-to-head winner.
Norwich 10*-2-7 versus Sunderland
Everton 10*-0-9 versus Southampton
Manchester United 15*-0-4 versus Aston Villa
Newcastle 5-5-9* versus Swansea
West Bromwich 6*-1-12 versus Watford
Chelsea 8-1-10* versus Manchester City
Bournemouth 9-2-8* versus Liverpool
Leicester 12*-2-5 versus West Ham
Arsenal 11*-2-6 versus Crystal Palace
Stoke 2*-1-16 versus Tottenham
Leicester v West Ham – Both Teams to Score
Sunday 17th April, 13:30 GMT
Manchester United to win to Nil
Saturday 16th April, 15:00 GMT
West Brom v Watford – Under 2.5 Goals
Saturday 16th April, 15:00 GMT
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