Liverpool to beat Burnley again, deservedly this time


Liverpool is the hottest team in the English Premier League and it represents the best bet of the midweek round when it welcomes relegation-threatened Burnley to Anfield. We’re on the back of a clean sweep of Premier League weekend tips, so let’s hope we can keep the run going.

A few months ago it was not out of the question that Brendan Rodgers would find himself unemployed but he has worked out how to get Liverpool firing in its post-Luis Suarez era and, domestically at least, the Reds are the form side. Twelve wins and six draws in Liverpool’s last 18 matches against domestic opponents across all competitions have put the Reds in contention for the English FA Cup and one of the English Premier League’s UEFA Champions League qualifying berths.

Liverpool’s three-month unbeaten run versus domestic teams includes a 1-0 English Premier League victory at Burnley in which Raheem Sterling scored the only goal of the game in the 62nd minute. The result was somewhat harsh on Burnley – the Clarets had 16 attempts but none of them was on target – as Liverpool stole three English Premier League points after being on the back foot for most of the match. Burnley had a lot of the ball but it could not create really good chances, illustrating once again why it is averaging under one goal per English Premier League game as it strives to stay among the big boys following its promotion from the second tier.

No English Premier League side has accrued more points from its last six matches than Liverpool and only Aston Villa has collected fewer points than Burnley over the same period of time and that includes a 1-1 draw at Chelsea in which the Blues deserved to beat the Clarets by a significant margin.

Several bookmakers, including BetVictor  and William Hill, are quoting Liverpool at odds of -250  to get the better of Burnley on Wednesday and there is no logical reason for doing anything other than backing the Reds.

Much has been made of the English Premier League home record of Queens Park Rangers but that is because the away record of the Hoops is so ugly that it looks pretty in comparison. The reality is, however, that Queens Park Rangers has just the 12th best English Premier League home numbers and the Hoops have beaten no team ranked higher than 13th on the ladder. Irrespective, Queens Park Rangers has played nine English Premier League games versus the top seven sides for one draw and eight losses. Queens Park Rangers is not up to the standard of the English Premier League’s heavyweights and Arsenal ought to fancy its chance of collecting three points from its visit to Loftus Road on Wednesday.

Not even Oliver Giroud’s 53rd-minute red card could prevent Arsenal defeating Queens Park Rangers 2-1 in the reverse English Premier League fixture at the Emirates Stadium, the Gunners matching the Hoops for all the time that the hosts had to play one man light. Arsenal has not missed out on the UEFA Champions League since the 1997-1998 season but, with Manchester United winning despite not playing very well and Liverpool on a roll, the Gunners have to play for three points at Loftus Road to maintain their English Premier League position. Odds of -175  with numerous bookmakers, including Betfred, Coral and Totesport, about Arsenal beating Queens Park Rangers are more than reasonable.

One struggled to find another decent head-to-head bet on the midweek English Premier League coupon but one is quite keen on under two and a half goals in the derby match between Aston Villa and West Bromwich. Aston Villa has not scored more than one goal in any of its last 12 English Premier League games and under two and a half goals has paid out in 18 of its 27 top-flight games, including seven out of 13 at Villa Park. Sixteen of West Bromwich’s 27 English Premier League matches have gone under two and a half goals, with nine of its 13 away games ending shy of three goals. One would take Ladbrokes up on its offer of odds of 1.55.

Tips Summary

Liverpool to beat Burnley
4th March 20:00 GMT
Odds:  -250
Where to Bet: BetVictor, William Hill

Arsenal to beat QPR
4th March 19:45 GMT
Odds:  -175
Where to Bet: BetfredCoralTotesport

Aston Villa v West Brom Under 2.5 goals
3rd March 19:45 GMT
Odds:  -182
Where to Bet: Ladbrokes

Loftus Road
Raheem Sterling
Villa Park

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