There are four English Premier League matches across Tuesday and Wednesday and one of the problems facing punters is that only one game is meaningful to both participating teams.
That English Premier League match is Tuesday’s game between West Ham and Manchester United. Both West Ham and Manchester United have UEFA competition qualification on their minds and the Hammers will be running out at the Boleyn Ground for the last time before they relocate to the Olympic Stadium.
West Ham killed thousands of English Premier League coupons last weekend when it lost 1-4 at home to Swansea, a result that made Hammers manager Slaven Bilic angry to the pit of his stomach. Bilic is a coach whom it pays not to cross so one expects that West Ham will be 1,000 per cent better against Manchester United than it was versus Swansea.
According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, West Ham trails Manchester United 5-6-8 but the Hammers did draw 0-0 at Old Trafford in December so one’s view is that the divisional head-to-head record favours them. West Ham and Manchester United locked horns in the English FA Cup quarter-finals when the Old Trafford clash ended 1-1 and the Boleyn Ground replay resulted in a 2-1 victory for the Red Devils. There is very little to choose between West Ham and Manchester United, certainly not as much as bookmakers would have punters believe. West Ham is overpriced at odds of +235 with Marathonbet to get the better of Manchester United – one thinks that the Hammers should be trading at odds of around the +160 mark.
Mike Dean will referee the English Premier League match between West Ham and Manchester United and no-one loves showing cards than the Heswall-based official. Dean has brandished 103 yellow cards and nine red cards in his 31 English Premier League appointments this term, while his career divisional tallies are 1,441 yellow cards and 81 red cards from 396 games dating back to the 2000-2001 season.
The English Premier League match between West Ham and Manchester United has the potential to be one featuring several cards and a bet that appeals is the Red Devils to have more bookings points – 10 per yellow card and 25 per red card – than the Hammers. Manchester United has received 33 yellow cards and one red card in its 18 English Premier League away games, while West Ham has collected 19 yellow cards and three red cards in its 18 divisional home matches. Manchester United has had more booking points than West Ham in two of their three meetings across all competitions this term, including their only clash at the Boleyn Ground.
One understands why English Premier League punters will be drawn to Norwich and Sunderland in their respective home games against Watford and Everton but both the Canaries and the Black Cats are poisonous odds based on the first 36 and a bit rounds of the tournament. For example, Norwich trails Watford 3-4-12 according to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, while Sunderland lost 2-6 at Everton in November. Unfortunately, one cannot make a sufficiently strong case for opposing either Norwich or Sunderland so both English Premier League matches are totally unsuitable for betting – leave them alone.
One’s third and final English Premier League pick on what is another dreadfully difficult program is Liverpool to defeat Chelsea at Anfield on Wednesday. Liverpool beat Chelsea 3-1 in October’s reverse English Premier League fixture and, in spite of the Reds trailing the Blues 5-6-8 according to one’s collateral form analysis, there is almost nothing between their respective results versus the top teams.
Liverpool is available at odds of +105 with several bookmakers, including BetVictor, Paddy Power and William Hill, to continue its UEFA Europa League final preparations with a home win over a Chelsea side stuck in no man’s land.
Finally, here are one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis results for each of this week’s four games. The asterisk signifies the head-to-head winner.
West Ham 5*-6-8 versus Manchester United
Norwich 3-4-12* versus Watford
Sunderland 6-3-10* versus Everton
Liverpool 5*-6-8 versus Chelsea
West Ham to beat Manchester United
Tuesday 10th May, 19:45 GMT
Manchester United most Booking Points
Tuesday 10th May, 19:45 GMT
Odds: N/A at time of writing
Liverpool to beat Chelsea
Wednesday 11th May, 20:00 GMT