That 19th-placed Newcastle is the favourite for its English Premier League game versus fifth-ranked West Ham on Saturday is ridiculous and, therefore, the Hammers are the best bet on the weekend program at odds of 21/103.10+2102.102.10-0.48 with BetVictor.
West Ham boss Slaven Bilic has proven one wrong by putting the Hammers in the hunt for a UEFA Champions League berth – one thought that the former Croatia defender was more likely to be a disaster than a success at the Boleyn Ground. West Ham boasts the English Premier League’s third best road record so it has earned its high ladder position by obtaining good results away from its East End home.
Newcastle came from behind to draw 3-3 at home to Manchester United on Tuesday, thereby ending its run of four losses in a row across all competitions. West Ham came from behind to win 3-1 at Bournemouth on the same night, thereby extending its recent run across all events to four straight victories. Newcastle is performing like a team positioned 19th in the English Premier League and West Ham’s form is like that of side that is fifth in the division. Quite why bookmakers have installed Newcastle as the favourite for Saturday’s important English Premier League match is inexplicable.
According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, the ladder is not lying when it comes to Newcastle and West Ham because the Magpies trail the Hammers 3-3-13, including having suffered a 0-2 loss in the reverse fixture. Dimitri Payet scored West Ham’s two goals in its September home win over Newcastle in the English Premier League and the Hammers have improved out of sight since the France midfielder returned from injury earlier this month.
West Ham’s English Premier League collateral form edge over Newcastle – as well as the ladder positions of the two teams – entitles the Hammers to favouritism so the value case for Bilic’s side is easy to make given BetVictor’s odds of 21/103.10+2102.102.10-0.48.
Most of the English Premier League home teams in Round 22 do not appeal as value propositions, although one would be very surprised if either Manchester City or Tottenham failed to collect maximum points from their Saturday assignments. With regards to one’s second English Premier League pick, Everton not to lose at Chelsea on Saturday is it at odds of 57/502.14+1141.141.14-0.88 with 888Sport and Unibet – the Toffees should be odds on to exit Stamford Bridge with something for their efforts.
There is not a great deal between Chelsea and Everton on the English Premier League ladder – 14th as opposed to 11th and a four-point gap – but one’s collateral form analysis put the Blues well behind the Toffees. Chelsea trails Everton 6-2-11 according to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, including being on the wrong end of a 1-3 result at Goodison Park four months ago. It is ridiculous – there is that word again – that Chelsea is trading at odds on to beat Everton. One would much rather back Everton not to lose at odds against than Chelsea to win at odds on.
Finally, and are adjacent on the English Premier League ladder but one’s collateral form analysis suggests that the Saints are a fair bit stronger than the Baggies, thereby making Saturday’s home side interesting at odds of 73/1001.73-1370.73-1.370.73 with Betfred.
Goal difference is all that separates Southampton and West Bromwich on the English Premier League ladder following 21 rounds but, according to one’s collateral form analysis, the Saints enjoy a 10-4-5 advantage over the Baggies, including having the better of the 0-0 draw in the reverse fixture in September. In all honesty, bookmakers have worked out that Southampton is superior to West Bromwich in spite of the English Premier League ladder but, in what is a tough round for nominating home teams, the Saints are the closest thing to a decent bet, ranking third behind West Ham and Everton.
West Ham to beat Newcastle
16th January 15:00 GMT
Everton to win/draw v Chelsea
16th January 15:00 GMT
Southampton to beat West Brom
16th January 15:00 GMT
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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