Arsenal’s English Premier League title challenge has taken a series of serious hits since this time last month but the Gunners are too big at odds against to get the better of Bournemouth in Sunday’s match at the Vitality Stadium.
Bournemouth are ranked higher than Arsenal on the six-game English Premier League ladder, the Cherries having accrued three more points than the Gunners over that spell. But one is not ready to write off Arsenal just yet and one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis suggests that the Gunners are much better than Bournemouth, particularly in matches against the division’s best performing teams.
According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, Arsenal enjoys a 14-1-4 lead over Bournemouth, including a 2-0 win in December’s reverse fixture. Those numbers are interesting in themselves but what one finds really exciting is that Arsenal leads Bournemouth 5-0-0 in English Premier League games versus the top five and 10-0-2 in top-flight matches against the top 12. In short, Arsenal performs to a higher level than Bournemouth on a regular basis when the Gunners and the Cherries encounter English Premier League heavyweights. Consequently, Arsenal is one’s English Premier League top selection at odds of +110 with Bwin.
Arsenal’s local rival, Tottenham, made it five wins on the spin when beating Norwich 3-0 on the road in English Premier League action and one is keen on the third-placed side’s prospects of extending its winning streak with a home victory over Watford at White Hart Lane on Saturday.
One’s English Premier League collateral form analysis is in line with the state of the ladder after 24 rounds. Tottenham holds a 12-2-5 advantage over Watford, including a 2-1 win in December’s reverse fixture – the Hornets had Nathan Ake sent off in the 63rd minute when the game was tied at 1-1. Purely looking at English Premier League matches involving teams in the top seven and Tottenham’s collateral form lead over Watford stands at 6-1-0, which implies that Spurs are significantly superior to the Hornets on the biggest stages.
William Hill are offering odds of -200 about Tottenham defeating Watford and closing the English Premier League gap on at least one of Leicester and Manchester City. That strikes one as the best odds-on bet on the English Premier League card.
Speaking of the English Premier League blockbuster between Manchester City and Leicester, the Etihad Stadium game is one in which there is likely to be over two and a half goals so snap up BetVictor’s benevolent offer of odds of -143 .
No English Premier League side has featured in more matches that have gone over two and a half goals than Manchester City, which is 15-9 at the line, including 10-2 at home. Fourteen of Leicester’s 24 English Premier League games have gone over two and a half goals, including eight of its 12 away matches. Saturday’s game should not be one of those English Premier League early matches in which there is a dearth of goalmouth action – Manchester City will go for Leicester’s throat and the home team’s tactics ought to present opportunities for the away side to counter attack.
Finally, here are one’s English Premier League collateral form figures for every one of Round 25’s games. An asterisk signifies that the side enjoys a head-to-head advantage.
Manchester City 11*-1-7 versus Leicester
Swansea 7*3-9 versus Crystal Palace
Stoke 6*-3-10 versus Everton
Aston Villa 7-3-9* versus Norwich
Liverpool 11*-2-6 versus Sunderland
Tottenham 12*-2-5 versus Watford
Newcastle 6-1-12* versus West Bromwich
Southampton 8-2-9* versus West Ham
Bournemouth 4-1-14* versus Arsenal
Chelsea 5*-3-11 versus Manchester United
Arsenal to beat Bournemouth
7th February 13:30 GMT
Tottenham to beat Watford
6th February 15:00 GMT
Man City v Leicester Over 2.5 goals
6th February 1245 GMT
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