The Spanish Primera Division reaches its halfway point on Saturday and Sunday and one rates three teams as standout bets based on one’s detailed collateral form analysis.
One does not have an issue with either Barcelona or Real Madrid being very short odds to win their Spanish Primera Division games against Granada and Deportivo respectively but their prices are indicative of their superiority over their opponents. The three Spanish Primera Division sides which one thinks are trading at over their true odds for Round 19 victories are Eibar, Getafe and Villarreal.
Eibar is eighth on the Spanish Primera Division ladder, four rungs and six points above Espanyol. Simply going off the Spanish Primera Division ladder, Eibar deserves to be odds on to defeat Espanyol on Sunday whereas William Hill is listing the Gunners at +110 . And one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis suggests that Eibar is more superior to Espanyol than the ladder indicates. Eibar and Espanyol have had 18 common Spanish Primera Division foes and the Gunners enjoy a 12-1-5 collateral form edge over the Parakeets. There is no exact science to converting Spanish Primera Division collateral form figures to odds but a 12-1-5 advantage is what one would expect to see for a home team trading at prices in the vicinity of -200 .
One thinks that Eibar is occupying a fair position on the Spanish Primera Division ladder whereas Espanyol should not be ranked 12th. Espanyol has a negative goal difference at both home and away and most of its road performances have been disappointing. There is no doubt in one’s mind that Eibar should be well into odds-on territory to win Sunday’s Spanish Primera Division match in the Basque Country.
SkyBet is quoting Getafe at odds of +105 to beat in Saturday’s Spanish Primera Division game and anything over even money strikes one as being on the generous side.
Getafe and Betis are adjacent on the Spanish Primera Division ladder and both teams have earned 20 points. But Getafe and Betis have had 18 common Spanish Primera Division opponents and one’s collateral form analysis favours the Deep Blues 10-3-5 over the Green and Whites. Therefore, one thinks that Getafe will end the Spanish Primera Division season above Betis on the ladder, with the former putting distance between it and the latter as the competition continues and the fixture list becomes more equitable.
Whereas Getafe is undefeated in its last five matches across all tournaments, Betis has gone seven games without a win and failed to score on each of its last four appearances.
Finally, Villarreal is a worthy warm favourite for its Spanish Primera Division match versus Gijon on Sunday.
Villarreal, which is fourth on the Spanish Primera Division ladder, and relegation candidate Gijon have had 18 common foes and the results of one’s collateral form analysis is a clear 12-3-2 lead for the Yellow Submarine over the Red and Whites. Villarreal has won each of its last five Spanish Primera Division games and the Yellow Submarine defeated Gijon 1-0 in a pre-season friendly one week before the serious stuff kicked off. Marathonbet are begging for Spanish Primera Division punters to include Villarreal in their weekend wagers at odds of -208 .
Atletico Madrid almost made one’s Spanish Primera Division short list to win at Celta on Sunday because the Mattressers have a collateral form edge of 12-4-2. Levante was a bit stuff not to make one’s Spanish Primera Division cut also because, according to one’s collateral form analysis, the Frogs are slightly superior to Vallecano, which is the opposite of what the ladder suggests after 18 rounds.
Eibar to beat Espanyol
10th January 17:15 GMT
Getafe to beat Betis
9th January 17:15 GMT
Villarreal to beat Gijon
10th January 11:00 GMT
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