Guardiola’s Citizens to be Premier League’s Top Scorers

Pep Guardiola's teams are renowned for scoring plenty of goals.

Manchester City has been the highest scoring team in each of the last three English Premier League seasons and one thinks that the high-octane Citizens are set to justify favouritism in this exotic betting market for the fourth term in a row.

Seventy-one goals were sufficient for Manchester City to be the English Premier League’s most prolific side last season when the Citizens outscored Tottenham (69 goals), Leicester (68 goals), Arsenal (65 goals), West Ham (65 goals) and Liverpool (63 goals). Manchester United did not challenge, managing only 49 goals to 10th of the 20 English Premier League teams, albeit with a decent goal difference.

Manchester City topped the English Premier League scoring chart at the end of the 2014-2015 competition with 83 goals – 10 goals more than title winner Chelsea – and the Citizens edged out Liverpool in the 2013-2014 tournament, prevailing by 102 goals to 101 goals. Manuel Pellegrini, also known as This Charming Man, managed Manchester City in each of its last three English Premier League seasons and no-one would describe him as a more offensively minded coach than Pep Guardiola, his successor in the Etihad Stadium dugout.

Guardiola was a defensive midfielder throughout his playing career but each of the teams that he has managed – Barcelona B, Barcelona and Bayern Munchen – has been free scoring. One does not expect Manchester City to regress offensively under Guardiola and one rates the coaches of the other two sides among the English Premier League championship market’s three frontrunners – Chelsea’s Antonio Conte and Manchester United’s Jose Mourinho – to be defensively focused.

Many of Manchester City’s English Premier League opponents are likely to back right off Guardiola’s Citizens at Etihad Stadium, allowing the hosts to dictate affairs and spend a lot of time probing in their front third. Manchester City’s defence may not be sufficiently good for the Citizens to win the English Premier League title in Guardiola’s first term but their attack, led by the division’s deadliest finisher, Sergio Aguero, should score heavily, particularly at home.

Manchester City is available at odds of +175  with several bookmakers, including Betfred, 888Sport and Unibet to be the English Premier League’s highest scoring team and that makes more appeal than backing the Citizens at slightly longer odds to win the competition for the third time.

Hull is odds on to return from whence it came and it is hard to come up with a sensible reason why the Tigers will not end up in the English Premier League relegation zone.

Odds of -149  with numerous bookmakers, including BetVictor, Marathonbet and Paddy Power, about last season’s English Championship play-offs winner failing to survive in the English Premier League are, if anything, too big. Steve Bruce walked out on Hull midway through the summer – one does not blame him for doing so – and the failure of the Tigers to appoint a full-time manager means that they will kick off as the worst prepared side in English Premier League history. Bookmakers are estimating that Hull has a 60 per cent chance of being relegated from the English Premier League; ask most football fans and they would say that is too low and that the true probability is upwards of 80%.

Finally, the English Premier League newcomer that is best prepared for life back in the English Premier League is undoubtedly Middlesbrough, the Riverside Stadium team that receives unequivocal backing from its long-serving chairman, Steve Gibson. Middlesbrough has recruited well since earning its English Premier League berth and Boro could be the side that goes from the top of England’s second tier to the middle of its first level as one promoted team often does. It is imperative to shop around for the best English Premier League handicap starts and odds but one could do worse than back Middlesbrough plus 41 points at +1400  with SkyBet.

Tips Summary

Manchester City to be Premier League Top Team Scorers
Season 2016/17
Odds:  +175

Hull to be Relegated from the Premier League
Season 2016/17
Odds:  -149

Middlesbrough +41 Points Premier League Season Handicap
Season 2016/17
Odds:  +1400

Hull City
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