Clarets to Take a Draw from Trip to See Tigers

Burnley and Hull drew 1-1 earlier in the season.

Hull has given itself a live chance of avoiding relegation from the English Premier League but one thinks that the Tigers are too short in the betting to beat Burnley on Saturday in a battle of the top-flight newcomers.

Seven points from its last five English Premier League games have enabled Hull to lift itself to just one point adrift of safety and, even in defeat, the Tigers have been dogged in losing 0-2 at first Chelsea and then Arsenal. But Hull’s four victories across all competitions since Marco Silva succeeded Mike Phelan have each occurred at home and the Tigers have vanquished Swansea, Bournemouth, Manchester United when the Red Devils had their English Football League tie in the bag and, and, in of its off days, Liverpool. One understands why there is a feel-good factor about Hull but one is refusing to get swept along with the Tigers hype.

Burnley will be Hull’s English Premier League guest this weekend and there is no getting away from the fact that the Clarets are 0-1-10 on their divisional travels, drawing 0-0 at Manchester United but experiencing defeat at Chelsea, Manchester City, Tottenham, Arsenal, West Browmich, Stoke, West Ham, Southampton, Watford and Leicester. One does not wish to make excuses for Burnley’s poor English Premier League away numbers but the Clarets have only visited one of the bottom seven sides and that was title holder Leicester before their championship defence really hit the skids.

According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, Burnley holds a 13-1-5 advantage over Hull and that is not all – the Clarets have outperformed the Tigers against each of the division’s top seven teams – Chelsea, Manchester City, Tottenham, Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester United and Everton. Yes, it would require a leap of faith to back Burnley to prevail at Hull because the Tigers have the worst road record in the competition but surely there is a value argument for backing the draw at odds of +230  with Betfred and BetVictor. The reverse English Premier League fixture five months ago ended 1-1 and Hull’s absentee list is lengthy for a depth chart that is relatively shallow.

It is a difficult English Premier League betting card, not least because there are only eight fixtures due to Sunday’s English Football League Cup final between Manchester United and Southampton at Wembley Stadium. In the circumstances, one is looking to speculate at working man’s prices.

West Bromwich is enjoying a terrific season occupying the eighth rung of the English Premier League ladder and one thinks that it is likely to beat Bournemouth on Saturday. However, one does not want to back West Bromwich straight up, with one of the exotic markets holding more appeal.

According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, West Bromwich holds a 10-1-8 edge over 14th-ranked Bournemouth but the Baggies trail the Cherries 2-1-6 when one just counts matches featuring sides in the top nine. Bournemouth is in horrible form – the Cherries crashed out of the English FA Cup 0-3 at third-tier Millwall and they are 0-2-4 in their last six English Premier League games – but Eddie Howe’s team has consistently performed better than West Bromwich versus the division’s heavyweights. Betfair is quoting odds of +280  about West Bromwich registering a one-goal victory over Bournemouth and that strikes one as a good way of getting with the Baggies.

Finally, Selhurst Park will be a tense place on Saturday when Crystal Palace and Middlesbrough lock horns in a real English Premier League relegation six-pointers. Bookmakers are trying to duck under two and a half goals so one is picking the negative option on both sides to score at -133  with BetVictor.

There has been a clean sheet in each of Crystal Palace’s last five English Premier League matches and seven of its last nine. Clean sheets have been common in Middlesbrough’s English Premier League games also, with 14 of its 25 matches rewarding punters who oppose both teams to score.

Tips Summary

Hull and Burnley to Draw
Saturday 25th February, 15:00 GMT
Odds:  +230

West Brom to win by a one-goal margin
Saturday 25th February, 15:00 GMT
Odds:  +280

Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough – Both teams to score NO
Saturday 25th February, 15:00 GMT
Odds:  -133

Crystal Palace
Premier League
West Bromwich Albion

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