Burnley has beaten Sunderland twice at Turf Moor this season and one thinks that the Clarets are overpriced to post their first English Premier League away victory by defeating the Black Cats again, this time at the Stadium of Light.
Burnley and Sunderland are set to meet for the fourth time this term. Their first clash was in the English Premier League on New Year’s Eve, Burnley striker Andre Gray scoring a history-making hat-trick inside 53 minutes as the Clarets smashed Sunderland 4-1 at Turf Moor. Gray became the first Burnley player to score three goals in an English Premier League just five years after playing in England’s sixth tier. Burnley and Sunderland were paired in the English FA Cup third round and the Clarets were unlucky not to win the tie at the first time of asking, hitting the woodwork and having the better of the play at the Stadium of Light in January. Ten days later, Burnley qualified for the English FA Cup fourth round, Gray again celebrating a goal versus Sunderland in a 2-0 Turf Moor victory for the Clarets.
Many punters have made a habit out of putting a pen through Burnley whenever the Clarets leave their Lancashire home but one thinks that MarathonBet and William Hill are incorrect to quote them at odds of +200 to get the better of the weakest team in the English Premier League on Saturday.
According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, Burnley is every bit as superior to Sunderland as one would expect given the eight-rung and 12-point gap between the sides. Burnley hold a 9-4-5 English Premier League collateral form advantage over Sunderland – the Clarets have outperformed the Black Cats against Manchester City, Liverpool, Arsenal, Everton, Stoke, Southampton, Swansea, Middlesbrough and in the direct head to head, the Black Cats have outperformed the Clarets versus West Bromwich, Bournemouth, Leicester, Crystal Palace and Hull and the Clarets and the Black Cats have matched each other’s efforts in their battles with Chelsea, Tottenham, West Ham and Watford. One thinks that it is worth highlighting that most of Sunderland’s English Premier League collateral form edges over Burnley involve fairly lowly ranked opponents.
Sunderland has not posted an English Premier League success over a team ranked in the top 12 so one has an issue with the bottom-of-the-ladder Black Cats being the favourites against 12th-placed Burnley. Sunderland supporters are a dispirited bunch – thousands of them exited the Stadium of Light before the hour mark of their side’s 0-2 English Premier League home loss to Manchester City two weeks ago – and the Black Cats appear to believe that they are doomed after seasons of pulling off miraculous escapes.
Burnley is 0-2-12 in its 14 English Premier League away games but one is convinced that the Clarets are better than their road figures suggest. For example, each of Burnley’s English Premier League trips to Tottenham, Manchester City, Liverpool and Arsenal resulted in 1-2 defeats, while the Clarets held on to draw 0-0 at Manchester United. Burnley is seven points above the English Premier League relegation zone so it can play with a freedom about which Sunderland can only dream – the Black Cats are under huge pressure.
Burnley to beat Sunderland
Saturday 18th March, 15:00 GMT