Bournemouth and Brighton have faced three of the same teams in the first four rounds of the English Premier League and, based on the results of those six games, one thinks that the newly promoted Seagulls are worth backing to get something out of their derby match versus the Cherries on Friday.
Nineteenth on the English Premier League ladder, Bournemouth and its boss, Eddie Howe, would be attracting more negative attention if it was not for the farce that is Crystal Palace right now. Bournemouth has scored just one in its English Premier League losses to West Bromwich, Watford, Manchester City and, most recently, Arsenal. Only Swansea has fired off fewer English Premier League attempts than Bournemouth and the Cherries rank fourth worst for attempts allowed.
Brighton posted its first English Premier League victory in a 3-1 home win over West Bromwich last time out. According to one’s English Premier League collateral form ratings, Brighton enjoys a 2-0-1 advantage over Bournemouth and, while the Seagulls have relatively poor attempts numbers, they are substantially better than those of the Cherries.
One is not enthused about supporting Brighton at odds on to avoid defeat at Bournemouth so one thinks that the value lies in getting with the draw at odds of +240 with several bookmakers, including Betfred, BetVictor and Paddy Power.
Crystal Palace did one a favour by losing 0-1 at Burnley in the final English Premier League game of Frank de Boer’s managerial tenure but the Eagles created enough chances to win several matches and the goal that they conceded was a comedy of errors. Many English Premier League punters are itching for Crystal Palace to fail because of the appalling manner in which they have handled De Boer but punters who care about value should be interested in the Eagles on Saturday when they host Southampton at Selhurst Park.
BetVictor, Bwin and Marathonbet are offering odds of +210 about Crystal Palace marking its first game of its post-De Boer era with a home success over a Southampton side that has been underwhelming this term. Southampton began its English Premier League campaign with a 0-0 home draw with Swansea before only just overcoming a 10-man West Ham team 3-2 at St Mary’s. Southampton has fired blanks in each of its last three matches against Wolverhampton, Huddersfield and Watford so the Saints have scored only one goal versus an 11-man side in any of their five games this season.
Crystal Palace smashed Southampton 3-0 in last term’s corresponding English Premier League fixture and one does not agree that the Eagles should be despised underdogs at home to a Saints team that is not playing well, either.
Chelsea will have two more days to prepare than Arsenal for their English Premier League derby match at Stamford Bridge on Sunday and that is one logical reason why the Blues are worth backing at odds of -120 with several bookmakers, including Marathonbet and Paddy Power.
Other logical reasons for supporting Chelsea over Arsenal is that the Blues outperformed the Gunners against Leicester in previous English Premier League rounds and, also, the Blues led Arsenal in the English Community Shield when Pedro was sent off 10 minutes from the end of normal time.
Last season’s corresponding English Premier League fixture resulted in a 3-1 home win for Chelsea and the Blues look better equipped to challenge for the title than Arsenal.
Bournemouth and Brighton to Draw
Friday 15th September, 20:00 GMT
Crystal Palace to beat Southampton
Saturday 16th September, 12:30 GMT
Chelsea to beat Arsenal
Sunday 17th September, 13:30 GMT
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