Realistically, Chelsea will need to win each of its last three English Premier League games to stand a chance of participating in next season’s UEFA Champions League and surely the Blues are getting to host Liverpool at a good time – four days after the Reds defeated Roma in the UEFA Champions League semi-finals to reach the title decider.
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Chelsea is six points adrift of Liverpool having played one fewer English Premier League match. Even if Liverpool loses to Chelsea at Stamford Bridge on Sunday, which is what one is tipping, the Reds will guarantee their participation in next term’s UEFA Champions League if they round out their English Premier League campaign with a home victory over Brighton so there is absolutely no need for them to panic.
According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, Liverpool holds an 11-0-8 edge over Chelsea but that is not the statistic on which one should concentrate. Dig a little deeper and you find that Chelsea has fared better than Liverpool against most of the English Premier League’s top teams. For example, Chelsea’s English Premier League collateral form advantage over Liverpool is 4-0-0 if one counts games featuring top-five sides, 5-0-2 if one counts games featuring top-eight sides and 6-0-3 if one counts games featuring top-10 sides. To cut a long story short, Chelsea has outdone Liverpool in English Premier League blockbusters and Sunday’s match is one of them. Back the Blues at 5/42.25+1251.251.25-0.80 with BetVictor.
Leicester v West Ham
English Premier League punters are getting the right odds to back ninth-ranked Leicester to post a home win over West Ham at 13/102.30+1301.301.30-0.77 with Betway, which is 15th on the ladder and fighting for its top-flight status, in one of Saturday’s six games.
Leicester, which held West Ham to a 1-1 draw in the reverse English Premier League fixture, enjoys a 13-1-5 collateral form lead over the Hammers, including progressive counts of 3-0-1, 8-0-2, 10-1-3 and 12-1-4. West Ham is yet to beat a higher ranked team on its English Premier League travels, whereas Leicester is yet to lose at home to a side ranked lower than 11th. Take a punt on Leicester being switched on for the visit of West Ham because, if this English Premier League match was taking place a couple of weeks ago, the Foxes would be odds on rather than odds against.
Brighton v Manchester United
For one’s third and final English Premier League pick one is going with Manchester United to get the better of Brighton at 4/51.80-1250.80-1.250.80 with Betway in the opening game of the round. Incredibly, Manchester United has outshone Brighton versus every English Premier League team except cellar dweller West Bromwich, with the Red Devils boasting an 18-1-0 collateral form edge over the Seagulls. Manchester United manager Jose Mourinho has the English FA Cup final as a carrot to get the best out of the Red Devils players between now and the big day at Wembley Stadium so one expects them to be trying their best.
Chelsea to beat Liverpool
Sunday 6th May, 16:30 GMT
Leicester to beat West Ham
Saturday 5th May, 15:00 GMT
Manchester United to beat Brighton
Friday 4th May, 20:00 GMT
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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