Only the name of Manchester United is holding up its odds of beating Chelsea in the marquee match of the English Premier League round so backing the Blues to win at Old Trafford is an attractive play at odds of +150 with Paddy Power.
Manchester United manager Louis van Gaal is living to regret telling everyone to judge his Old Trafford revolution after three months because, three months into the Dutchman’s Red Devils reign, things are certainly not hunky dory. It took Danny Blind’s late free kick to rescue an English Premier League point for Manchester United at relegation candidate West Bromwich on Monday and only the division’s bottom two teams, Burnley and Queens Park Rangers, have failed to hit the back of the net against the very lopsided Red Devils.
Chelsea is unbeaten this season, compiling a record of 10 wins and two draws across all competitions that includes half a dozen victories on the spin and five clean sheets. The likelihood of Manchester United’s malfunctioning defence shutting out Chelsea is slim and Blues boss Jose Mourinho’s reputation of setting up sides to defend an advantage is second to none. Mourinho will have strategies to deal with whatever Manchester United throws at Chelsea and one thinks that, if the Blues score first, it will be very difficult for the Red Devils to get back into the blockbuster game.
Backing Chelsea at odds of +150 to beat Manchester United – a result that would mean that the Blues would have more than double the English Premier League points of the Red Devils after nine rounds – is a perfectly sensible bet. Given that Manchester United has scored in seven of its eight English Premier League matches – it failed to net at Burnley – one can see why some punters would be keen on taking Bwin‘s odds of +400 about Chelsea winning and both sides scoring. One does not like betting on Mourinho-managed teams conceding goals, though, particularly in games that are high profile.
One’s other English Premier League fancies are Aston Villa and Stoke not to lose at Queens Park Rangers and Southampton respectively, fancies that are driven by the betting market.
Aston Villa has lost each of its last four English Premier League matches since shocking Liverpool 0-1 at Anfield and the Villans have not scored in those four games. However, Aston Villa has played four of the English Premier League’s big seven – Arsenal, Chelsea, Everton and Manchester City – since edging Liverpool on Merseyside and the Villans are nowhere near as messed up as Queens Park Rangers is.
Queens Park Rangers manager Harry Redknapp and Super Hoops midfielder Adel Taarabt are embroiled in a public slanging match that is serving only to increase the pressure on the English Premier League cellar dweller. Queens Park Rangers spent a considerable amount of money in preparation for its English Premier League return and, on the evidence of its first eight league games, it was not money well spent.
Aston Villa and Queens Park Rangers have had three common English Premier League opponents this term and all three collateral form lines favour the Villans by at least two goals if one awards half a goal for home advantage. So one thinks that Aston Villa is well over the odds at +230 with BetVictor to beat Queens Park Rangers at Loftus Road. Aston Villa has a right to be trading as the match favourite.
One has had a lot of fun backing Southampton in the early English Premier League rounds and the Saints are marching onwards and upwards following their 8-0 home thrashing of Sunderland last weekend. However, one must take issue with how bookmakers are viewing Southampton’s English Premier League home game versus Stoke, a side that one thinks will not be all that far away from the Saints on the ladder at the end of the season. Stoke is available at odds of +150 with Spreadex not to lose at Southampton. One thinks that Stoke should not be any bigger odds than +110 in receipt of a one-goal head start so odds of +150 are over the top.
Chelsea to beat Man Utd
26th October 16:00 GMT
Where to Bet: Paddy Power
Aston Villa to beat QPR
27th October 20:00 GMT
Where to Bet: BetVictor
Stoke Not to Lose v Southampton
25th October 15:00 GMT
Where to Bet: Spreadex
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