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Blues to be Miserable on Their Way Home From Genoa
Eric Roberts 2016-10-14 in Football Tips
Empoli has not scored in each of its last four Italian Serie A matches and one is tipping the Blues to slump to a loss at Genoa in which they failed to rustle the onion bag.
Only Palermo has fired off fewer Italian Serie A shots than Empoli in the first seven rounds of the competition and no team is close to the Blues in the scoring stakes having managed just two league goals, both of which they scored in their 2-1 home win over bottom-of-the-ladder Crotone.
Empoli play Genoa on Saturday and the bad news for the Blues strikers is that their hosts are very unlikely to make life easy for them. Only Juventus has better defensive numbers than those of Genoa – the Red and Blues have allowed 58 shots and five goals in their seven Italian Serie A games – and one’s collateral form analysis favours the favourites also. Both Genoa and Empoli have tackled Crotone, with the Red and Blues posting a 3-1 away victory and, as mentioned previously, the Blues registering a 2-1 home success.
Genoa is a shade of odds on with most bookmakers to defeat Empoli, just what the Red and Blues did in last season’s corresponding Italian Serie A fixture. But one is eyeing off a bigger prize and that is Genoa to win to nil at odds of 2/13.00+2002.002.00-0.50 with Paddy Power. For the record, that bet would have copped last term as well because Genoa beat Empoli 1-0.
The eight round of Italian Serie A kicks off with Napoli hosting Roma in a battle between second and third on the ladder. Saturday’s Italian Serie A match has all the makings of a cracker and one fancies that Napoli will come out on top at the acceptable odds of 21/202.05+1051.051.05-0.95 with William Hill.
One’s case for Napoli boils down to one’s opinion that the Partenepei will have too much firepower for Roma’s creaky defence to repel. Roma leads Italian Serie A in shots but the Yellow and Reds have allowed 94 shots and nine goals, which is not Italian Serie A title-winning material. Napoli has given up 30 fewer Italian Serie A shots than Roma and, blessed with home advantage, one likes it chance of getting the chocolates and pulling four points clear of its guest.
Napoli has won each of its last 10 home games across all tournaments and it has not lost any of its last 14 matches in front of its own fans. Roma has not won away from home this season having visited Porto, Cagliari, Plzen, Fiorentina and Torino in various competitions.
Finally, Internazionale has the look of an Italian Serie A home banker at odds of 23/501.46-2170.46-2.170.46 with Marathonbet to do the business versus Cagliari at the San Siro on Sunday.
Internazionale’s Italian Serie A shot statistics suggests that the Black and Blues will rise up the ladder in due course but the opposite is likely for Cagliari. Inter has fired off 125 shots and allowed 74 in its seven Italian Serie A outings, whereas Cagliari’s respective numbers are 69 and a division-worst 135. According to one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis, Inter boasts a 1-2-0 advantage over Cagliari in spite of Frank de Boer’s side experiencing some bad luck early on in his reign.
Genoa to beat Empoli to Nil
Sunday 16th October, 14:00 GMT
Napoli to beat Roma
Saturday 15th October, 14:00 GMT
Inter Milan to beat Cagliari
Sunday 16th October, 14:00 GMT
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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