Villarreal suffered an upset 0-2 loss at Getafe in the 13th round of the Spanish Primera Division but one expects that the Yellow Submarine will sink the Deep Blues on Sunday.
Getafe has accrued just two points from its last 11 Spanish Primera Division games to slide into the relegation zone and, if the Deep Blues are going to save themselves from dropping out of the top flight, it is highly unlikely to be away from home. Getafe has defeated only one current Spanish Primera Division team on its travels since November 2014 and each of its last five league road trips has resulted in a loss to nil – four of them by three or more goals. Opposing Getafe in Spanish Primera Division away games has proven to be a licence to print money for quite some time and, on all known form, the Deep Blues should fail at Villarreal.
According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Villarreal enjoys a 13-3-3 advantage over Getafe, with the Yellow Submarine leading the Deep Blues 10-1-1 in matches featuring the top 12 sides. Villarreal has served up a few Spanish Primera Division shockers – it has lost at two of the bottom three teams, Getafe and Levante – but the bulk of the Yellow Submarine’s form is several levels above that of Getafe and odds of 57/1001.57-1750.57-1.750.57 with Coral about a home win rate as being somewhat generous given the woes of the Deep Blues.
One thinks that the route to Spanish Primera Division profit in the 32nd round of games is to focus on the leading sides, with Barcelona and Atletico Madrid rounding out one’s picks.
Barcelona is a backable price to win at Sociedad on Saturday because William Hill is listing Barca at odds of 11/201.55-1820.55-1.820.55 for their 25th victory in 32 Spanish Primera Division matches.
One’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis has Barcelona holding a 15-0-4 lead over Sociedad and November’s reverse fixture resulted in a 4-0 home triumph for Barca in which Neymar bagged a brace and Lionel Messi and Luis Suarez scored singles. Barcelona has outperformed Sociedad against each of the Spanish Primera Division’s best five teams and eight of the league’s top nine sides. Barcelona’s Spanish Primera Division goal difference is 64 better than that of Sociedad and one should not pass up the opportunity to back Barca at relatively attractive odds versus a mediocre team.
Atletico Madrid will back up from its UEFA Champions League date at Barcelona on Tuesday with a Spanish Primera Division game at Barca’s city rivals, Espanyol on Saturday. Atletico Madrid boasts a 16-0-3 Spanish Primera Division collateral form edge over Espanyol according to one’s number crunching, including a 1-0 home victory in November’s reverse fixture courtesy of Antoine Griezmann’s third-minute goal. They can complete a league double at 21/202.05+1051.051.05-0.95 with Bet365, BetVictor and Coral
Espanyol has earned just two points from its eight Spanish Primera Division matches against top-six sides, whereas Atletico Madrid has won 13 of its 14 divisional games versus teams ranked no higher than Budgerigars on the ladder.
Finally, here are one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis results for every one of Round 32’s 10 matches. The asterisk signifies the direct head-to-head winner.
Granada 5*-2-12 versus Malaga
Real Madrid 16*-1-2 versus Eibar
Espanyol 3-0-16* versus Atletico Madrid
Sociedad 4-0-15* versus Barcelona
Betis 9-3-7 versus Levante
Gijon 7-0-12* versus Celta
Valencia 4-4-11* versus Sevilla
Villarreal 13-3-3* versus Getafe
Athletic 12*-2-5 versus Vallecano
Deportivo 10*-1-8 versus Las Palmas
Villarreal to beat Getafe
Sunday 10th April, 17:15 GMT
Barcelona to beat Real Sociedad
Saturday 9th April, 19:30 GMT
Atletico Madrid to beat Espanyol
Saturday 9th April, 17:15 GMT
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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