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The last round of the Spanish Primera Division before the Christmas and New Year break features three high-profile derbies – two of them geographical and the other being the world’s biggest game in club football, Real Madrid versus Barcelona.
And it is that grudge match that throws up the most attractive punting opportunity in the 17th round of Spanish Primera Division games, with one’s favourite way of lining up teams suggesting that Barcelona is overpriced to get something out of its visit to Real Madrid on Saturday. Bookmakers are betting on El Clasico as if Real and Barcelona are equally talented, but there is plenty of empirical data to support one’s view that Barca have a touch more quality than the Meringues going into their next encounter.
Real Madrid and Barcelona have faced 13 of the same Spanish Primera Division opponents this season and, according to one’s collateral form analysis, there is no way that punters should back the Meringues are at their odds of around 11/10 2.10 +110 1.10 1.10 -0.91 . Real trails Barcelona 1-4-8 on one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form count, with the Meringues outshining Barca against fifth-placed Sevilla only. El Clascio away wins are hard by which to come and the state of the Spanish Primera Division title race means that a draw would be a terrific result for Barcelona, which leads Real by 11 points albeit after fulfilling one more fixture than the Meringues. Also, Barcelona has drawn its Spanish Primera Division road games at Atletico Madrid and Valencia so one thinks that El Clasico punters should gamble on the draw this weekend at odds of 3/1 4.00 +300 3.00 3.00 -0.33 with BetVictor.
Valencia versus Villarreal is a Spanish Primera Division derby because the two teams are neighbours but one cannot get away from the Bats because they are overpriced at 26/25 2.04 +104 1.04 1.04 -0.96 with Jetbull to beat the Yellow Submarine on Saturday. Valencia and Villarreal are third and sixth respectively on the Spanish Primera Division ladder but the 10-point gap between the local rivals is more indicative of the difference between the teams according to one’s collateral form analysis. Valencia enjoys a 9-1-5 Spanish Primera Division collateral form lead over Villarreal and, if one just reviews matches featuring either the Bats or the Yellow Submarine in action against sides ranked in the top 12, the former’s advantage is 6-0-2. Naturally, performances versus teams higher up the Spanish Primera Division ladder mean more than those against struggling sides.
Finally, Getafe rates well versus Las Palmas so one is keen to back the Deep Blues at value odds of 4/5 1.80 -125 0.80 -1.25 0.80 with BetVictor to register their sixth Spanish Primera Division victory this term.
Getafe and Las Palmas have run into 14 of the same Spanish Primera Division foes and, according to one’s collateral form analysis, the Deep Blues boast a 9-4-1 edge over the Yellows. Getafe is 10th on the Spanish Primera Division ladder compared to Las Palmas being anchored to its foot so one is at a loss to explain the odds which bookmakers are offering about the Deep Blues ending 2017 on a high at home.
Below are one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form figures for each of the 10 matches in the 17th round of the championship so you can view them for yourself.
Real Madrid 1-4-8
Real Madrid and Barcelona to Draw
Saturday 23rd December, 12:00 GMT
Odds: 3/1 4.00 +300 3.00 3.00 -0.33
Valencia to beat Villarreal
Saturday 23rd December, 15:15 GMT
Odds: 26/25 2.04 +104 1.04 1.04 -0.96
Getafe to beat Las Palmas
Wednesday 20th December, 18:30 GMT
Odds: 4/5 1.80 -125 0.80 -1.25 0.80
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