It is the match that could decide the destiny of the Spanish Primera Division and, also, it is the match that throws up the best opportunity to make a profit betting on the round.
The Spanish Primera Division match of which one writes is Sunday’s top-of-the-ladder showdown between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid at Camp Nou. Victory for Barcelona in the blockbuster game and the Spanish Primera Division title race, well, it will be as good as over. Unfortunately for what is left of the Spanish Primera Division season, one thinks that Barcelona will beat Atletico Madrid and that Barca represent a decent betting vehicle to do so.
Atletico Madrid has been flying since exiting the Spanish Copa del Rey at the feet of Sevilla in January. Atletico Madrid has won eight consecutive matches across domestic and international competitions, including six with clean sheets and a crushing 5-1 UEFA Europa League aggregate victory over Kobenhavn. Atletico Madrid has managed to get within five points off Barcelona on the Spanish Primera Division ladder but Barca remain unbeaten and, according to the way in which one rates performances, the championship favourites remain well ahead of the Mattressmakers on pure ratings. Barca can be backed at odds of -133 with BetVictor.
According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Barcelona boasts a 13-1-5 lead over Atletico Madrid and, what is more, Barca have outperformed the Mattressmakers against the overwhelming majority of high-quality teams. Also, while Atletico Madrid has had the better of Real Madrid in many of their recent capital derbies, Diego Simeone’s side has been unable to go toe to toe with Barcelona. Indeed, Atletico Madrid has won one of its last 14 games versus Barcelona, losing nine of those matches.
Valencia is a team that is likely to join Barcelona and Atletico Madrid in next season’s UEFA Champions League and the Bats can consolidate their spot in the Spanish Primera Division top four with a home win over Betis on Sunday at -217 with 888Sport.
October’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture ended in home despair for Betis and away delight for Valencia with the Bats leading 4-0 after 74 minutes and ultimately posting a 6-3 road win. Valencia is fourth on the Spanish Primera Division ladder compared to 10th-ranked Betis and, according to one’s collateral form data, the Bats enjoy a 14-2-3 edge over the Green and Whites. Furthermore, there is substance to Valencia’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form lead over Betis because the progressive count favours the former over the latter 2-0-0, 4-0-1, 11-2-2 and, finally, 14-2-3.
Levante draw no bet almost made it on to one’s Spanish Primera Division short list but Celta gets the honour of inclusion at decent odds of -217 with 888Sport to defeat Las Palmas on Monday.
Celta crushed Las Palmas 5-2 in October’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture and that was in spite of the Sky Blues being reduced to 10 men in the 52nd minute when the score was 3-0 in favour of the visitors. Celta was 5-0 up when stoppage time commenced only for Las Palmas to score two extremely late consolation goals. According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Celta boasts a 13-2-4 advantage over Las Palmas so the ladder is, if anything, understating the difference between the teams.
Real Madrid 11-5-3
Barcelona to beat Atletico
Sunday 4th March, 15:15 GMT
Valencia to beat Real Betis
Sunday 4th March, 19:45 GMT
Celta Vigo to beat Las Palmas
Monday 5th March, 20:00 GMT