The English Capital One Cup is as much about attitude as it is about ability and that is why Aston Villa is a cracking bet at odds of 3.20 with BetVictor to beat Tottenham in normal time of the third round tie. We already spoke of backing Villa to win outright earlier today.
Aston Villa manager Paul Lambert is a fan of the English Capital One Cup having led the Villans and one of his former teams, Wycombe, to the semi-finals of England’s secondary knockout competition. Lambert comments after Aston Villa came out of the hat with Tottenham were upbeat, with the Villans boss making all the right noises. However, the same cannot be said of Tottenham manager Andre Villas-Boas and his reaction to not only the draw but also the scheduling.
Villas-Boas slammed English Capital One Cup organisers for programming Tottenham’s tie against Aston Villa two days after Spurs play Cardiff in the English Premier League, meaning that the White Hart Lane side faces three games in seven days as it competes on three fronts. Villas-Boas has a large squad of players from which to choose but he fears that one or more of his stars could sustain a serious injury because of the proximity of the Cardiff and Aston Villa matches. Villas-Boas says that the second day of recovery is the most dangerous day for a player to pick up an injury.
Consequently, one can expect Villas-Boas to name a Tottenham team missing several key players and one can assume that the stars who do represent Spurs on a two-day break will have the fearful words of their boss rattling around their heads.
Bookmakers have priced up the tie as if it is an English Premier League game rather than an English Capital One Cup tie. Back Aston Villa as early as possible because one can see its odds collapsing as kick-off time approaches. Aston Villa could become the favourite before the match starts.
Currently Bwin is offering odds of 2.15 that Aston Villa gets the job done by any method – English Capital One Cup ties can go to extra time and/or penalties – but the value lies in backing the Villans to finish off Tottenham quickly.
The other 15 English Capital One Cup third round ties are relatively unappealing from a betting perspective, although one could take a small punt on Burnley and Nottingham Forest combining for more than two goals at fair odds of 1.83 with BetVictor. Three of Burnley’s last four games have gone over 2.5 goals, while each of Nottingham Forest’s most recent four matches have broken through the 2.5-goal barrier.
There are plenty of decent games on the European continent this midweek and over 2.5 goals in the Spanish La Liga match between Malaga and Almeria stands out at odds of 1.68 with Bet365. The basis for the bet is Almeria’s penchant for scoring goals and conceding goals freely. Almeria’s five Spanish La Liga games this season have ended 2-3, 2-2, 2-2, 2-4 and 2-2. Malaga has had a very tough program over its first five matches but it did smash Rayo Vallecano 5-0 in its one and only winnable fixture. Malaga is odds on to beat Almeria and, based on this term’s results for both sides, a scoreline of something like 3-1 looks a likely outcome.
Barcelona and Atletico Madrid have the look of Spanish La Liga home bankers at top odds of 1.15 and 1.29 respectively, with both teams worth considering for multiple wagers.
Finally, Guincamp is not going to make many waves in this season’s French Ligue Un but it should be shorter than odds of 2.05 with Ladbrokes to defeat Sochaux at home. Guincamp’s five French Ligue Un results have been pretty much to par, whereas Sochaux is the early frontrunner in the race to be the division’s worst side. Sochaux’s only point came in a goalless home draw with Ajaccio, the side that is 19th on the ladder. Sochaux looks set for a long, hard season.
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