Chelsea is yet to taste defeat under Guus Hiddink but its seven-match unbeaten run across all competitions does not deserve the respect that bookmakers are affording it.
Questionable timekeeping and dreadful assistant refereeing enabled Chelsea to draw 3-3 at home to Everton on Saturday, John Terry scoring 50 seconds after most people thought that time had expired, heading the ball past Tim Howard from an offside position. Back-to-back English Premier League home draws versus Everton and West Bromwich is a million miles away from championship-winning form and the only teams that Chelsea has beaten since Hiddink returned to Stamford Bridge are Crystal Palace and third-tier Scunthorpe. But bookmakers are betting on Sunday’s English Premier League game at the Emirates Stadium as though Chelsea is on Arsenal’s level.
One is very confident that the English Premier League match between Arsenal and Chelsea will kick off with the Gunners at shorter odds than Marathonbet’s early offer of 111/1002.11+1111.111.11-0.90 because the ladder leader ought to be trading at around the 7/101.70-1430.70-1.430.70 mark and that is factoring in the derby element. Arsenal and Chelsea have played every other English Premier League team and, according to one’s collateral form analysis, the Gunners enjoy a 12-2-5 advantage over the Blues. Arsenal lost 0-2 at Chelsea when the sides met in English Premier League action in September but the local argument was 0-0 before Gunners defender Gabriel Paulista was sent off in the 45th minute and the Blues only put the game truly to bed after the dismissal of Gunners midfielder Santi Cazorla.
Home teams have bossed this English Premier League fixture in recent seasons, with Arsenal striker Theo Walcott being the last away player to score and that was in January 2013 when the Gunners lost 1-2 at Chelsea. If Diego Costa does not suit up for Chelsea at the Emirates Stadium – and he must be in grave doubt having limped off versus Everton – then another home win to nil may be the end product.
The English Premier League side that boasts the strongest collateral form figures for the 23rd round of games is Everton, which holds a 12-4-3 edge over Swansea ahead of Sunday’s Goodison Park clash of the Toffees and the Swans. Everton drew its English Premier League road match against Swansea in September – Toffees midfielder Kevin Mirallas received his marching orders late on in the goalless game – so the direct head-to-head form line favours the Blues as well, plus they are in better recent shape than the Swans.
SkyBet is offering odds of 7/101.70-1430.70-1.430.70 about Everton, which has lost the same number of English Premier League matches as title favourite Manchester City, posting its seventh win of a campaign that has been frustrating because of 11 draws.
Manchester United completes one’s English Premier League punting portfolio at odds of 87/1001.87-1150.87-1.150.87 with BetVictor to get the better of Southampton on Saturday.
Every man and his dog are taking pot shots at Manchester United and, while agrees that the Red Devils are boring to watch and not English Premier League championship material, one judges every game on its merits. According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, Manchester United has a 11-2-6 lead over Southampton and, what is more, the Red Devils have a 9-2-1 advantage over the Saints when only the matches featuring teams ranked in the top 13.
Finally, here are one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis results for every one of Round 23’s 10 games. The asterisk signifies the direct head-to-head winner.
Norwich 7*-1-11 versus Liverpool
West Bromwich 12*-2-5 versus Aston Villa
Sunderland 8-2-9* versus Bournemouth
Watford 12*-1-6 versus Newcastle
Manchester United 11*-2-6 versus Southampton
Leicester 11*-2-6 versus Stoke
Crystal Palace 5-4-10* versus Tottenham
West Ham 4*-4-11 versus Manchester City
Everton 12*-4-3 versus Swansea
Arsenal 12-2-5* versus Chelsea
Arsenal to beat Chelsea
24th January 16:00 GMT
Everton to beat Swansea
24th January 13:30 GMT
Manchester Utd to beat Southampton
23rdJanuary 15:00 GMT
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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