Sparks to fly on Schmidt’s Germany Bundesliga debut

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The best bet in the opening round of German Bundesliga games is over two and a half goals in the match between Dortmund and Leverkusen at Signal Iduna Park, an option that is on offer at generous odds of -149  with Boylesports.

There are many reasons for one’s enthusiasm about the bet but the main one is the appointment of Roger Schmidt to coach Leverkusen. Schmidt was the manager who developed Salzburg into, arguably, Europe’s most entertaining team, encouraging the Red Bull-backed side to attack at all times and not worry too much about leaking the odd goal or two.

Leverkusen did not feature in a German Bundesliga goalless draw last season and 20 of its games went over two and a half goals. One expects that figure to rise this term and one got a glimpse of Leverkusen under Schmidt during its UEFA Champions League match versus Kobenhavn in Denmark on Tuesday. Punters who bet on over two and a half goals in that game were celebrating inside the first 13 minutes and it was 3-2 to Leverkusen at both half time and full time.

Dortmund was an over-two-and-half-goals standing dish in the German Bundesliga last term, with 27 of its 34 matches going over the line. Only Hoffenheim, which had a 28-6 record for over two and a half goals, featured in more high-scoring German Bundesliga games than Dortmund so all the ingredients are there for our headline selection to do the business.

Paderborn is attractively priced to beat Mainz on its German Bundesliga debut, with Bet365 and BetVictor listing what appear to be over-the-top odds of +210  about a home win for the team that accompanied Koln into Germany’s top division.

What interests one about backing Paderborn at underdog odds is that its first-ever German Bundesliga opponent will be Mainz, which may be one of the surprise strugglers. Mainz’s UEFA Europa League campaign did not take – it crashed out 1-3 on aggregate to Greece’s Asteras – and its summer transfer deals have been underwhelming to say the least.

Both Paderborn and Mainz made a mess of their midweek cup assignments away to lower-league opposition but that Mainz conceded five goals to Chemnitzer was far worse than what Paderborn did in its tie against Red Bull Leipzig.

Bayern Munchen ought to kick off the German Bundesliga with a home win over a Wolfsburg side whose pre-season results included a 1-3 loss at Bochum, a 3-3 draw away to Cardiff and a 1-5 home defeat versus Atletico Madrid. Wolfsburg’s defensive numbers are too poor to suggest that it will be able to contain Bayern at the Allianz Arena so odds of -400  with BetVictor  seems safe to snap up for both big single punters and little multiple punters.

One should not read anything at all into Bayern Munchen’s 0-2 German Super Cup loss at Dortmund the week before last. Neither Bayern nor Dortmund fielded its strongest team and remember that Dortmund smashed Bayern 4-2 in last season’s corresponding fixture and look at how the German Bundesliga ended up. For anyone that needs remaining, Bayern romped to the championship, finishing 19 points ahead of Dortmund and threatening to go through the campaign without losing.

The German Bundesliga is an exciting league to watch because of its high-scoring games – all 18 sides averaged over two and a half goals in their matches last term, with Hertha’s 2.59 mean being the lowest – but something needs to happen at the top of the ladder to prevent Bayern Munchen running away with the title season after season after season.

Tips Summary

Dortmund v Leverkusen over 2.5 goals
23nd August  17:30 GMT
Odds:  -149
Where to Bet: Boylesports

Paderborn to beat Mainz
24th August  14:30 GMT
Odds:  +210
Where to Bet: Bet365, BetVictor

Bayern to beat Wolfsburg
22nd August  19:30 GMT
Odds:  -400
Where to Bet: BetVictor

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