The German Bundesliga has a well earned reputation for being the most entertaining of the highly ranked European leagues but Friday’s match between Koln and Ingolstadt may be one that does not provide much in the way of goalmouth action.
BetVictor and Marathonbet are offering odds of -143 that Koln and Ingolstadt’s German Bundesliga game goes under two and a half goals and one thinks that it is a good way to kick off the the seventh round of the usually exciting championship.
Five of Ingolstadt’s opening six German Bundesliga matches have gone under two and a half goals and one expects that trend to continue because its coach, Ralph Hasenhuttl, is set in his tactical ways. Irrespective of venue, Ingolstadt is playing cautiously, forcing opponents to make the running and looking to hit them on the counter. And it is working because Ingolstadt has accrued 10 points from its first six German Bundesliga games, including three 1-0 away victories over Mainz, Augsburg and Bremen. The only German Bundesliga match featuring Ingolstadt that has gone over one and a half goals was its 0-4 home loss to Dortmund when the gulf in class between the teams was simply to big to ignore.
German Bundesliga punters who bet on under two and a half goals are learning to love Ingolstadt this season after falling for Koln last term. Koln led the German Bundesliga in low-scoring games last season, with 22 of its 34 matches going under two and a half goals, including 11 of its 17 home fixtures. Koln took part in nine German Bundesliga goalless draws last term – four more than any other side.
Wolfsburg versus Hannover is the major Lower Saxony derby and picking the Wolves at short odds does break one’s rule about getting involved in local arguments, particularly at odds on, but the Reds are a mess under Michael Frontzeck.
One was furious when Monchengladbach manager Lucien Favre resigned earlier this week because the Foals were not going to sack him that quickly and his exit prevented Frontzeck from trading as the red-hot favourite to win the German Bundesliga sack race. Hannover’s hiring of Frontzeck was bizarre in the first place and Reds chairman Martin Kind must be wondering what he was thinking back in April.
Wolfsburg has demonstrated that there is life in it after Kevin De Bruyne’s big-money transfer to Manchester City, winning its UEFA Champions League Group B opener against CSKA Moskva and occupying fourth place on the German Bundesliga ladder after six rounds. One is sure that Hannover fans will bait their Wolfsburg rivals about the crisis enveloping Volkswagen – VW owns the Wolves – but one is equally confident that Dieter Hecking’s team will lift the spirits of their supporters with a derby success.
Some bookmakers are offering odds of -238 about Wolfsburg consigning Hannover to its sixth German Bundesliga loss of the season and pushing Frontzeck closer to the dole queue.
Finally, Mainz has won three of its six German Bundesliga games but look at the sides that the 0-Fives have beaten – it is the bottom three, Monchengladbach, Hoffenheim and Hannover. Mainz hosts the German Bundesliga’s frontrunner, Bayern Munchen, on Saturday and the odds of -345 available with Totesport about an away victory are acceptable. On a collateral form line through Hoffenheim there is nothing to choose between Mainz and Bayern but the same is not true of the line through Leverkusen, which favours Pep Guardiola’s team by around three goals.
Dortmund is the German Bundesliga home banker of the seventh round and one almost included Frankfurt and Hamburg in one’s portfolio but Bayern Munchen, Wolfsburg and under two and a half goals in the match between Koln and Ingolstadt will do.
Koln v Ingolstadt Under 2.5 goals
25th September 19:30 GMT
Wolfsburg to beat Hannover
26th September 14:30 GMT
Bayern to beat Mainz
26th September 14:30 GMT