Hoffenheim has rallied to lift itself away from the German Bundesliga relegation zone and one thinks that Hoffe will consolidate their top-flight status with a home victory on Saturday over an Ingolstadt side safe from the dreaded drop.
Germany’s second division was beckoning for Hoffenheim after it lost 1-5 at Stuttgart last month but Hoffe have collected 13 points from their subsequent six German Bundesliga games to ascend to 14th position on the ladder, three points in front of 16th-placed Bremen and the relegation play-offs.
Hoffenheim’s rise up the German Bundesliga ladder has been driven by its excellent home form since the winter break, Hoffe being 4-2-1 in matches played before their supporters this year. Hoffenheim’s recent German Bundesliga home form is in stark contrast to the divisional away numbers of its weekend guest, with Ingolstadt being 0-5-7 since it made a remarkable start to its first-ever season among the elite, winning each of its opening three road games by a 1-0 score.
One’s German Bundesliga collateral form analysis suggests that both Hoffenheim and Ingolstadt are occupying false positions on the ladder. Hoffenheim boasts a 8-3-6 German Bundesliga collateral form lead over Ingolstadt, including a 1-1 draw in December’s reverse fixture. Ingolstadt would be right in the German Bundesliga relegation scrap if it had not taken 10 points from its first five matches at this level, whereas Hoffenheim made a horrendous start to its campaign because it lost many key players in the summer.
Marathonbet is offering odds of +106 that Hoffenheim beats Ingolstadt and, at greater than even money, Hoffe rate the best bet in the 32nd round of German Bundesliga games.
The German Bundesliga is well known for being a relatively high-scoring competition and one’s other selections are over two and a half goals in the matches between Hannover and Schalke on Saturday and Bremen and Stuttgart on Sunday.
Hannover is nine points adrift of Bremen on the German Bundesliga ladder but it cannot escape relegation because Werder’s last three foes include Frankfurt and, therefore, the 16th-placed team is guaranteed to end up with at least 10 more points than the Reds have currently. Hannover has nothing for which to play than pride and so one expects the Reds to play with a mixture of passion and freedom against a Schalke side that is in the midst of a crisis. Schalke coach Andre Breitenreiter appears to be a dead man walking and the Royal Blues are desperate for an away victory over Hannover to maintain their chance of UEFA Champions League football.
Eighteen of Hannover’s 31 German Bundesliga games have gone over two and a half goals, including eight of its 15 home matches. Twenty of Schalke’s 31 German Bundesliga games have gone over two and a half goals, including nine of its 15 away matches. Schalke defeated Hannover 3-1 in December’s reverse German Bundesliga fixture so the head-to-head data supports a bet on over two and a half goals at odds of -147 with Marathonbet, which goes out of its way to be top price.
The German Bundesliga round will not conclude until Monday when Bremen and Stuttgart fight for their respective lives. Several bookmakers, including Unibet, are quoting odds of -208 about the German Bundesliga relegation battle going over two and a half goals, which is likely.
Twenty-two of Bremen’s 31 German Bundesliga games have gone over two and a half goals, including 10 of its 15 home matches. Twenty-two of Stuttgart’s 31 German Bundesliga games have gone over two and a half goals, including 12 of its 15 away matches. December’s reverse German Bundesliga fixture resulted in a 1-1 draw but that is pretty much the only statistic that is not favour of one’s weekend pick.
Finally, here are one’s German Bundesliga collateral form analysis results for every one of Round 32’s nine games. The asterisk signifies the head-to-head winner.
Augsburg 9*-1-7 versus Koln
Bayern Munchen 13*-1-3 versus Monchengladbach
Darmstadt 8*-2-7 versus Frankfurt
Dortmund 13*-1-3 versus Wolfsburg
Hannover 4-1-12* versus Schalke
Hoffenheim 8*-3-6 versus Ingolstadt
Mainz 8*-3-6 versus Hamburg
Leverkusen 8-3-6* versus Hertha
Bremen 8*-2-7 versus Stuttgart
Hoffenheim to beat Ingolstadt
Saturday 30th April, 14:30 GMT
Hannover v Schalke – Over 2.5 Goals
Saturday 30th April, 14:30 GMT
Bremen v Stuttgart – Over 2.5 Goals
Monday 2nd May, 19:15 GMT
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