Koln has been a friend to German Bundesliga punters in the first 11 round of the competition and one is keen to side with the Billy Goats when they host Augsburg on Saturday.
The fourth rung on the German Bundesliga on which Koln sits after 11 rounds is a fair reflection of its performances, which include winning 3-1 at Schalke and drawing 0-0 at Bayern Munchen. Also, Koln, admittedly at home, is one of the two teams to have taken German Bundesliga points off Leipzig, the despised surprise leader of the tournament.
Augsburg is 12th on the German Bundesliga ladder but it would be much lower if it has not beaten up on some of the division’s lightweights – its three victories have come against the sides ranked 15th, 16th and 17th, which are Darmstadt, Bremen and Ingolstadt. That is why Augsburg’s German Bundesliga away form is 2-1-2 is misleading – its road triumphs were at the homes of Bremen and Ingolstadt.
Irrespective of venue, Koln is 6-1-0 in its seven German Bundesliga matches versus teams ranked 10th or lower, whereas Augsburg is 0-3-5 against sides in the top 14.
Betfred are offering odds of -125 about Koln improving its German Bundesliga home record to 5-1-0 and that seems like a decent bet in the circumstances.
One thinks that bookmakers are underestimating Frankfurt’s chance of getting something tangible out of its German Bundesliga game versus Dortmund on Saturday so one’s next pick is Eintracht not to lose at odds of +138 with Bet365.
Frankfurt is 6-3-2 in the German Bundesliga to fill seventh spot on the ladder, including a home record of 3-2-0 in which Eintracht have defeated Koln, Leverkusen and Schalke, plus drawn with Bayern Munchen and Hertha. Frankfurt has conceded just nine goals in its 11 German Bundesliga matches – only Bayern Munchen and Koln boast better statistics.
Dortmund is backing up from its crazy, record-breaking UEFA Champions League game against Legia Warsaw that resulted in a 8-4 home victory for BVB. Dortmund has won only two of its five German Bundesliga away matches and those success were at the expense of 14th-placed Wolfsburg and cellar dweller Hamburg. Dortmund has not kept a single German Bundesliga clean sheet on the road so, in all probability, it will require at least two away goals to beat Frankfurt. And, as one highlighted above, Frankfurt’s defence is pretty good.
Last term’s corresponding German Bundesliga fixture ended 1-0 in favour of Frankfurt and a repeat of that would do wonders for one’s bank account. It is quite possible.
The most appealing of the German Bundesliga shorties this weekend is Schalke at odds of -250 with William Hill to do the business at home to dismal Darmstadt on Sunday.
Schalke is stuck on the bottom half of the German Bundesliga ladder following a dreadful early few rounds but the Royal Blues are one of the competition’s form teams having won nine and drawn two of their last 11 games across all tournaments – draws at Augsburg and their fierce rival, Dortmund, have been their only mistakes in recent weeks.
Darmstadt has lost each of its last four matches, including a 0-1 German DFB Pokal exit at Astoria Walldorf and a 0-1 German Bundesliga home loss to Ingolstadt that displeased one intensely after giving it the benefit of the doubt.
Schalke is backing up from UEFA Europa League action on Thursday but the Royal Blues were at home to Nice and they are absolutely flying so Darmstadt is in big trouble.
Koln to beat Augsburg
Saturday 26th November, 14:30 GMT
Frankfurt or Draw
Saturday 26th November, 14:30 GMT
Schalke to beat Darmstadt
Sunday 27th November, 14:30 GMT