The way in which bookmakers are betting on Saturday’s German Bundesliga game between Frankfurt and Ingolstadt you would be forgiven for thinking that are adjacent on the ladder.
Frankfurt is third on the German Bundesliga ladder having accrued 20 more points than second-bottom Ingolstadt. And the German Bundesliga ladder is not lying, either. According to one’s German Bundesliga collateral form analysis, Frankfurt holds a 13-1-3 lead over Ingolstadt, including winning September’s reverse German Bundesliga fixture 2-0 courtesy of two goals either side of the half-time interval in a midweek game.
Frankfurt is 6-3-0 at home in the German Bundesliga and that includes being 5-0-0 versus teams outside the top six. In comparison, Ingolstadt’s German Bundesliga away numbers are 2-1-7 and one of its road victories was over cellar dweller Darmstadt. Scoring goals is not Ingolstadt’s strong suit and Frankfurt’s defence is German Bundesliga’s second best. Marathonbet is offering odds of 6/52.20+1201.201.20-0.83 about a Frankfurt home win and that is pretty much what you would expect to see quoted about a host against an evenly matched guest.
Admittedly, Frankfurt required penalties to beat Ingolstadt when the sides met in the German DFB-Pokal at the same venue earlier this term but one gives more credence to the German Bundesliga head to head that favours the Eagles clearly.
Another surprising German Bundesliga price is the one that is available about over two and a half goals in Saturday’s match between Mainz and Bremen – Marathonbet is offering odds of 79/1001.79-1270.79-1.270.79 about the game exceeding the popular line.
Fourteen of Mainz’s 20 German Bundesliga matches have gone over two and a half goals, including six of its 10 home games. A German Bundesliga-high 16 of Bremen’s 20 matches have gone over two and a half goals, including seven of its nine away games. When Mainz visited Bremen in September for the reverse German Bundesliga fixture, two late O-Fives strikes snatched a 2-1 victory from the jaws of defeat. Bookmakers are offering slightly shorter odds about both Mainz and Bremen scoring this weekend but the relevant statistics are not as strong, particularly for the O-Fives.
Finally, Darmstadt stunned Dortmund in the last German Bundesliga round but one remains convinced that the bottom team is the worst in the competition by quite some distance.
Darmstadt is away to Hoffenheim on Saturday and one cannot see past Hoffe at odds of 9/201.45-2220.45-2.220.45 with BetVictor, 188Bet and Betway. Darmstadt is 0-0-9 in its nine German Bundesliga away assignments and the Lilies have failed to score on any of their five visits to sides ranked in the top eight – Hoffenheim is fifth.
According to one’s German Bundesliga collateral form analysis, Darmstadt trails Hoffenheim 1-1-15 and the Lilies would have lost at home to Hoffe in September had they not netted a 90th-minute equaliser. The German Bundesliga ladder is telling the truth about both Darmstadt and Hoffenheim so odds of 9/201.45-2220.45-2.220.45 about a Hoffe home win is more than fair.
One is not a massive fan of Dortmund and one feels that the German Bundesliga bookmaking fraternity are giving too much credit to Darmstadt for its home defeat of the Yellow and Blacks and paying too little attention to their away data.
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
SBO.net Bookie Selector
Our Bookie selector is designed to find the perfect place for you to bet. Simply answer a few quick questions and we’ll choose the best online bookmaker for you.