Bundesliga Golden Boot Leader Lewy to Open Scoring

Lewandowski has scored 30 goals in 32 Bundesliga matches.

Robert Lewandowski has been the German Bundesliga’s top goal scorer in two of the last three seasons and one thinks that backing the Poland international striker to open the scoring in Saturday’s game between Bayern Munchen and Freiburg is the most appealing way to approach the final round.

There are several big matches in the German Bundesliga this weekend and none bigger than Hamburg versus Wolfsburg that provides both the Red Shorts and the Wolves with a chance to avoid the relegation play-off against the third ranked team in Germany’s second division. But it is the game between the German Bundesliga champion and sixth-placed Freiburg in which one is interested from a punting perspective.

Freiburg is in the hunt for one of German Bundesliga’s UEFA Europa League spots but that it is sixth on the ladder says a lot about the lack of depth in the division. Freiburg has an appalling German Bundesliga goal difference of minus 15 and, according to one’s collateral form analysis, it trails Bayern Munchen 0-2-15. Yes, that is right – Freiburg has not posted a better aggregate result than Bayern against any German Bundesliga side. Bayern defeated Freiburg 2-1 in January’s reverse German Bundesliga fixture and guess who scored both of the winning team’s goals? Lewandowski.

Lewandowski has scored 30 goals in his 32 German Bundesliga appearances – 30 starts and two runs off the bench – for Bayern Munchen this season, notching in 16 individual matches. Bayern, which had 72 per cent possession versus Freiburg in the reverse German Bundesliga fixture four months ago and won the corner-kick count 11-1 as well, is a class above its weekend opponent and it can afford to focus on setting up Lewandowski for goals in the Golden Boot race.

Several bookmakers, including Betfred, SkyBet and William Hill, are offering odds of +200  about Lewandowski opening the scoring on Saturday and that is the best play of the German Bundesliga round on what is a difficult program.

Leipzig is understandably and justifiably odds on to win the last game of its debut German Bundesliga campaign when the second-ranked Red Bulls visit 11th-placed Frankfurt.

Saturday’s German Bundesliga match means nothing special to either Leipzig or Frankfurt but one thinks that the former will be much more switched on than the latter. Leipzig led Bayern Munchen 3-1 after 59 minutes and 4-2 after 83 minutes in its most recent German Bundesliga game only for the Reds to score three late goals, including two in stoppage time, to register a remarkable victory in a nine-goal thriller. One believes that Leipzig will be uber keen to finish its German Bundesliga schedule on a positive note and the Red Bulls are likely to receive a helping hand from Frankfurt, which is looking ahead to its German DFB Pokal final showdown against knockout cup favourite Dortmund.

According to one’s German Bundesliga collateral form analysis, Leipzig enjoys an 11-0-6 advantage over Frankfurt and the ledger is lopsided in favour of the Red Bulls when one assesses just matches featuring highly ranked sides. Leipzig is available at odds of -105  with Ladbrokes to beat Frankfurt and that pick makes one’s German Bundesliga list.

Third place on the German Bundesliga ladder is important because it equals an automatic berth in the UEFA Champions League group stage. Dortmund has the German DFB Pokal on its mind but the Black and Yellows must get the better of Bremen in Saturday’s German Bundesliga game in front of the famous Yellow Wall. Rather than back Dortmund to win the German Bundesliga match by any score, snap up the odds of +100  that many bookmakers, including BetVictor and Coral, are offering about the home team winning and both sides scoring. Dortmund won January’s reverse German Bundesliga fixture 2-1 and both teams to score fits the profile of both sides, particularly the highly entertaining Bremen outfit.

Tips Summary

Lewandowski to score first – Bayern v Freiburg
Saturday 20th May, 14:30 GMT
Odds:  +200

Leipzig to beat Frankfurt
Saturday 20th May, 14:30 GMT
Odds:  -105

Dortmund to win & both teams to score
Saturday 20th May, 14:30 GMT
Odds:  +100

Bayern Munich
Robert Lewandowski

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