Bookmakers have singled out Novak Djokovic as the man to beat at Wimbledon but one thinks that Andy Murray is the best bet to win the major men’s singles tournament on grass.
One can understand why bookmakers have put Djokovic at the top of their Wimbledon men’s singles markets. Djokovic is the defending Wimbledon men’s singles champion, he is the number one seed and he has won each of his last eight matches against Murray to lead their series 19-8.
But there are at least a couple of reasons why one is not all that keen to pick Djokovic ahead of Murray, particularly in view of the Wimbledon men’s singles market that has the Serbian at odds of 7/52.40+1401.401.40-0.71 with Bwin and the Briton at odds of 11/43.75+2752.752.75-0.36 with Bwin and Winner.
First, there is a possibility that Djokovic’s loss to Stan Wawrinka in the French Open men’s singles final has left a mental scar or two. The world and his wife were tipping Djokovic to beat Wawrinka and complete his collection of major titles but the Serbian could not stop Wawrinka’s one-handed backhand and lost 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-4 in truly heart-breaking circumstances. Djokovic’s defeat was not as good as that of Dustin Johnson in the US Open golf event but, even so, surely it has knocked his self confidence.
And second, Djokovic’s head-to-head record versus Murray, whom he is highly likely to meet at some point in the Wimbledon men’s singles, is abysmal on grass. Yes, that is right – abysmal. Djokovic and Murray have played two matches on grass and the Briton has won both of them convincingly – 7-5 7-5 in the London 2012 Olympic Games semi-finals and 6-4 7-5 6-4 in the 2013 Wimbledon men’s singles final. Murray has Djokovic’s number on grass and the Serbian knows it.
Murray is in a good space. First, he does not have to deal with the stifling pressure of there being no local Wimbledon men’s singles champion since Fred Perry in 1936 because he ended that hoodoo in 2013. Second, his marriage to long-time girlfriend Kim Sears earlier this year appears to have had a positive effect on his tennis. And third, he is 31-0 against opponents other than Djokovic since losing 1-6 3-6 to Borna Coric in Dubai four months ago. Djokovic is 29-1 since he won February’s tournament in the United Arab Emirates.
Some punters will go over the Wimbledon men’s singles draw with a fine-toothed comb looking for back-to-lay players but the reality is that only a handful of competitors have what it takes to win a major tournament and Murray ticks all the boxes and he is available at odds of 11/43.75+2752.752.75-0.36 with a few firms.
One is willing to cask the net a bit wider in the Wimbledon women’s singles and pick 18th seed Sabine Lisicki at the attractive odds of 20/121.00+200020.0020.00-0.05 with several bookmakers, including Bet365 and BetVictor. Serena Williams is the hot favourite and she has won the last three major tournaments but she has flopped in three of the last four Wimbledon women’s singles, making it past the fourth round once.
Lisicki is the most natural grass-court women’s singles player, which is remarkable considering that she is allergic to the green stuff. Lisicki, who beat Williams 6-2 1-6 6-4 in the 2013 Wimbledon women’s singles, has won 13 of her last 16 matches on grass and she was all set to win the Wimbledon women’s singles two years ago before nerves got the better of her versus Marion Bartoli in the decider.
If you are having one Wimbledon women’s singles bet then make it Lisicki at odds of 20/121.00+200020.0020.00-0.05 but, if you want to have both the German and Williams on your side, consider dutching them. Williams is trading at odds of 47/252.88+1881.881.88-0.53 with Betfair and Boylesports so dutching the number one seed and Lisicki produces a punt with odds of 153/1002.53+1531.531.53-0.65
Murray to win Men’s Wimbledon
Where to Bet: Bwin,Winner
Lisicki to win Women’s Wimbledon
Where to Bet: Betfair,Boylesports
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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