Philippe is the King of Belgium but Kimi Raikkonen is the King of the Belgian Grand Prix and the best way to approach betting on this year’s 12th Formula One race is to take a punt on the four-time winner beating Fernando Alonso.
In their various Belgium Grand Prix match bets, bookmakers have paired Raikkonen with Alonso, Jenson Button and Nico Hulkenberg. One is interested in the Raikkonen-Alonso odds because the Finn and the Spaniard have, in theory, the same equipment, whereas Button drives a Mercedes-powered McLaren car that should be competitive around the Spa-Francorchamps circuit and Hulkenberg’s Force India vehicle is powered by a Mercedes engine as well. One will go with the supposed level playing field between the experienced Ferrari teammates.
Raikkonen’s Belgium Grand Prix statistics are the best of the current crop of drivers by the length of the straight of the Spa-Francorchamps track that is a favourite of everyone involved in Formula One. Raikkonen has taken part in nine editions of the Belgian Grand Prix, retiring three times. From his six Belgian Grand Prix classified finishes, he has four firsts, one third and one 18th, and his 18th place was a controversial one. Raikkonen led the 2008 Belgian Grand Prix until he damaged his car trying to overtake Lewis Hamilton, who has using an illegal manoeuvre to pass him a few moments earlier. Raikkonen could not control his bashed-up vehicle and he crashed out. Hamilton took the chequered flag first but he lost the race after being handed a 25-second penalty.
So what one sees is a driver who has won four Belgium Grand Prix races out of the six that he has completed and who was unlucky not to win a fifth trading at odds of +425 with Bwin to beat a driver whose Spa-Francorchamps form figures read 2-R-4-R-R-4-3-2-R-R. Yes, Alonso’s Belgium Grand Prix record is not awful – he has two seconds, one third and two fourths from his five completed races – but it is not a patch on that of Raikkonen and they are driving the same car this season. Surely Raikkonen is grossly overpriced at +425 .
The reason why Bwin is offering odds of +425 about Raikkonen beating Alonso in the Belgium Grand Prix is that the Finn has not defeated the Italian in any of this year’s 11 Formula One races. One is not overlooking that fact.
But Spa-Francorchamps is a special circuit, one that demands a special talent. Raikkonen’s course form is very tough to overlook and he is worth a speculative bet at what are big odds in a two-man race. If Raikkonen is going to shine in his Ferrari this season, the odds are it will be in Belgium.
With regards to the Belgian Grand Prix race winner, again it boils down to a choice between Mercedes drivers Hamilton and Nico Rosberg. Bookmakers are betting odds of 21.00 bar those two men and, realistically, that is probably about right.
Hamilton lost the 2008 Belgium Grand Prix two hours after he took the chequered flag first but he won the 2010 edition fair and square, holding off Mark Webber and Robert Kubica. Hamilton has performed well in the Belgian Grand Prix races that he has completed, with one first, two thirds and one fourth to go with his three retirements. Rosberg has not stood on the Belgium Grand Prix podium in seven finishes.
Bwin is offering odds of -118 about Hamilton winning the Belgium Grand Prix and cutting into Rosberg’s 11-point lead in the Formula One championship. Hamilton is the bet if one wants to either supplement one’s match bet on Raikkonen to beat Alonso or just have an interest on the main event.
Kimi Raikkonen to beat Fernando Alonso in the Belgian Grand Prix
24th August 13:00 GMT
Where to Bet: Bwin
Hamilton to win the Belgian Grand Prix @ -118 with Bwin
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