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Lewis Hamilton failed to emulate Michael Schumacher in the Mexican Grand Prix but one thinks that he is worth backing to honour his hero, the late Ayrton Senna, by breaking his Brazilian Grand Prix duck at Interlagos on Sunday.
Not since 1992 had a Formula One driver champion other than Schumacher won the next race immediately after clinching the title and Hamilton, who backed up in the Mexican Grand Prix one week following his United States Grand Prix victory that clinched his second championship, played second fiddle to his Mercedes teammate, Nico Rosberg, in both qualifying and the main event at the Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez.
Hamilton delayed his flight to Brazil because he has been suffering from a fever and that news has, in part, resulted in him drifting out to odds of 7/10 1.70 -143 0.70 -1.43 0.70 with Bwin to win the Brazilian Grand Prix. One is not concerned about Hamilton feeling a bit under the weather several days before the race, particularly because he does not have to be anywhere near his best until Saturday’s three qualifying sessions. And one is not concerned that Hamilton is yet to win the Brazilian Grand Prix despite having eight previous cracks.
Hamilton ought to have won the 2012 Brazilian Grand Prix because he was leading on the 54th lap of the 71-lap when Nico Hulkenberg spun into the then McLaren driver, forcing the Briton out of the race with major suspension damage. And Hamilton missed out on winning last year’s Brazilian Grand Prix by the narrowest of margins, the three one-hundredths of a seconds that separated him and Rosberg in the fight for pole position proving the key differential of the weekend.
The 2014 Brazilian Grand Prix was all about Mercedes and the cars that the German company powers – the Silver Arrows were first and second, nearly 40 seconds ahead of the rest, with Williams third and fourth. Six of the Brazilian Grand Prix’s fastest seven qualifiers drove cars with Mercedes engines – Ferrari’s sixth-ranked Sebastian Vettel was the odd man out – so it is fair to say that the Interlagos track plays to the strengths of the Silver Arrows and their relatives.
Senna is Hamilton’s idol and, therefore, one is expecting the Briton to have his mind back on the job in the Brazilian Grand Prix after, understandably, he seemed to let his concentration slip in the Mexican Grand Prix. Everything that Hamilton is saying about the Brazilian Grand Prix is that it really matters to him and, as one has seen time and time again this year, when the Briton has been on his game, no-one else on the grid has been able to match his pace.
One is keen to support Hamilton on another Brazilian Grand Prix market – pole position – because of the odds on offer. Hamilton is available at odds of 1/1 2.00 +100 1.00 1.00 -1.00 with Bet365, and that is too big based on his ability, machinery and motivation. Only once in this year’s 17 Formula One races has the quickest qualifier been someone other than Hamilton or Rosberg so it is difficult to make a case for the Briton trading at odds of 1/1 2.00 +100 1.00 1.00 -1.00 or longer. One thinks that Hamilton should be odds of about 3/5 1.60 -167 0.60 -1.67 0.60 to be the Brazilian Grand Prix pole sitter.
The Formula One season is winding down so value bets are thin on the ground outside of backing Hamilton to win the Brazilian Grand Prix and dedicate his victory to Senna.
Hamilton to win Brazilian Grand Prix
15th September 16:00 GMT
Odds: 7/10 1.70 -143 0.70 -1.43 0.70
Hamilton Pole Position Brazilian Grand Prix
15th September 16:00 GMT
Odds: 1/1 2.00 +100 1.00 1.00 -1.00