Dekker Value against the BDO favourites

Jan DekkerThere is a good shape to the BDO World Darts Championship title market for punters with sound grounds for steering clear of the two players trading at the shortest odds.

Bookmakers are offering odds of 13.00 bar the BDO World Darts Championship number one seed, Stephen Bunting, and the defending champion, Scott Waites, with Bunting available at odds of 3.50 with Bwin and Waites trading at odds of 4.50 with Bwin aswell. Neither player appeals given BDO World Darts Championship history.

One can understand why bookmakers have installed Bunting as the BDO World Darts Championship title favourite because The Bullet has shot down his rivals this season. Bunting has won eight of the 12 BDO rankings events in which he has competed this term, finishing runner-up twice and reaching the last eight in the other two tournaments. But one cannot get too excited about Bunting at such short odds when one reviews how he has performed at the Lakeside Country Club.

Bunting is preparing to make his seventh BDO World Darts Championship appearance. Bunting debuted in the BDO’s top event in 2004 and he went out in the second round to former world champion Ted Hankey. Bunting won only one of his next three BDO World Darts Championship matches before, in 2011, reaching the quarter-finals in which he lost heavily to Dean Winstanley. Bunting did not take part in the 2012 BDO World Darts Championship and last year he crashed out to Darryl Fitton in the second round. Five match victories in six BDO World Darts Championship is not what one wants to see in a favourite as hot as Bunting so The Bullet is opposable, particularly when one factors in the record of top seeds.

Since darts split in two in the mid 1990s there have been 20 editions of the BDO World Darts Championship, which is seen as the lesser of the two tournaments. Only five times out of 20 has the BDO World Darts Championship top seed triumphed, highlighting the unpredictable nature of the event. That is the polite way of saying that the standard is considerably lower than that of the PDC World Darts Championship and that almost any player in the BDO World Darts Championship draw is capable of winning the Lakeside Country Club competition.

Waites is the BDO World Darts Championship seventh seed but one could argue that Scotty 2 Hotty should not be one of the protected 16 players. Waites has been in poor form for most of the last 12 months, although he did win the Czech Open in November. Phil Taylor did not win back to back BDO World Darts Championship titles so one should not be backing Waites at his pre-tournament odds to outdo The Power.

Nothing on the BDO circuit comes close to match the BDO World Darts Championship in terms of pressure – it is live on British free-to-air television – and prestige so it makes sense to follow players who have performed well under the bright lights of the Lakeside Country Club previously.

Wesley Harms will have his supporters at odds of 15.00 with Bet365, having reached the semi-finals in each of his BDO World Darts Championship appearances. But perhaps better value is Jan Dekker, the Dutch compatriot of Harms whose BDO World Darts Championship record is better than it looks. Dekker debuted in 2011 and he made the semi-finals. Last year, Dekker lost a thrilling quarter-final. In between, Dekker went out in the 2012 first round but the player who edged past him 3-2 was the eventual winner, Christian Kist.

Dekker has won two BDO rankings titles in the current period so he can hit doubles under pressure and his BDO World Darts Championship numbers are superior to many of the player above him in the betting. Dekker is over the odds at 51.00 with Coral.

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