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Date: Tuesday, July 14th 2015
Ballpark: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati
The MLB All-Star Game is tonight and unlike most sports – the ASG actually matters in baseball.
The winning team gets home park advantage during the World Series, which is a huge edge. With that being said – you can expect a highly contested match-up between the best players in MLB this season.
So, who has the edge in this American League vs. National League match-up?
It’s tough to separate two teams of all-stars and anyone could end up winning with a couple breaks, but based on looking at the rosters I’m convinced the National League will win for the first time since 2012.
The best odds for the MLB All-Star Game are available at the BetOnline Sportsbook.
The odds are always close in the MLB All-Star Game and this year is no different. I’m surprised the run total is as low as it is, although I won’t be touching the over, as the pitchers are all dominant and could keep the batters quiet all night.
Plus, the ASG isn’t known to provide a ton of runs. In the NHL, NBA and NFL the ASG means nothing and they attempt to entertain fans with plenty of scoring. I’d much rather those sports follow MLB’s format and make the ASG competitive.
Zach Greinke (NL) and Dallas Keuchel (AL) are the two starters in the MLB All-Star Game, but considering they’ll likely only see one inning of action – there’s no reason to put much stock into the starting pitchers.
You have to analyze the entire pitching roster to get a better idea of who has the edge.
The National League have Kershaw, Bumgarner, Burnett, Wacha, Chapman, Papelbon, among others. The AL bring a lot of talent as well, including Archer, Britton, Hernandez, Sale, Price, among others.
I’m giving the hitting edge to the National League as well.
The American League have a lot of pop in the line-up, including players like Cruz, Donaldson, Trout, Pujols, Fielder and Teixeira, but they’re also going to miss Bautista and Cabrera, as both sluggers are inactive.
The veterans will live and die by the HR, as I can’t see them grinding out a win. They’ll need multiple HR’s with guys on base to have a good chance at beating the much younger and more athletic National League roster.
I like this NL roster a lot – there’s plenty of pop — plus they have youth/speed on the bases. The NL have Harper, Posey, McCutchen, Goldschmidt, Rizzo, Pederson and hometown favorite Frazier. And that’s just in the starting line-up.
Tulowitzki, Arenado, Holliday and Gonzalez will all come off the bench. The NL are missing some players as well due to being inactive, including Stanton, Scherzer and the speedster Gordon.
Before I leave you guys – I wanted to share some recent trends in the MLB All-Star Game.
Dating back to 2005 – the last ten All-Star Games have been dominated by the American League (7-3). The AL have won the last two match-ups as well, but prior to that the NL had won three years in a row (2010 – 2012).
It’s rare to see a lot of runs in the MLB ASG, but this total is so low you have to be cautious. The last ten ASG’s have had less than 7 runs only four times and there have been more than 7 runs in four of those games as well.