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2.25 Lingfield – Hillbilly Boy
Hillbilly Boy might not have run that well on paper last time out over 8 furlongs at Lingfield, but Tom Dascombe’s runner is much better over 6/7 furlongs, and the horse has a great chance of making the frame at the Surrey track now he is dropped back in trip. Dascombe does very well with his all-weather runners and the son of Haafhd has shown a predilection for the artificial surfaces.
With a record of 4/13 with 4 places on the all-weather, Hillbilly Boy always has to be respected. Two years ago, the horse experienced a rapid rise through the handicap ranks, going from a mark of 70, all the way up to 97 by March 2015. Most of his victories and good performances came over 7 furlongs after racing close to the pace. Has been racing in Class 2 company and this represents a drop in class. Raced close to the pace at Lingfield last time out before weakening late in the day, and undoubtedly his stamina was stretched over the mile trip. Will be much more at home over the 7 furlongs.
Crazy Chic has been a handicapper on the up and Marco Botti’s 4 year old is the market leader. He was a strong favourite last time out at Chelmsford, but disappointed and has to prove himself after that run. Bettors seem to be forgiving that last run, but at the odds, he does not represent value.
5.10 Kempton – Cape Banjo
Cape Banjo put in a very promising debut at Kempton over 7 furlongs, and Ralph Beckett’s juvenile should really improve for the experience and step up in trip. The only slight negative is the draw but at odds of 3/1 4.00 +300 3.00 3.00 -0.33 , the son of Cape Blanco represents very solid value.
Cape Banjo had clearly been working quite well at home and was backed in from an opening show of 15.0 all the way down to 8.0 on debut. Broke alertly and led for most of the way before being outpaced in the latter stages. Showed signs of greenness, but also exhibited a tonne of ability, and he could turn out to be an above average all-weather performer this winter. Drawn stall 12 and is likely to pop out and use his experience and early pace to bag the lead and dictate matters against some more exposed rivals.
There are a couple of interesting newcomers from the Gosden and Bin Suroor yards, but while they are respected, Cape Banjo sets a fair standard to aim at for the newcomers, and is the bet at the prices.
Tips Summary (9th December)
2.25 Lingfield – Hillbilly Boy – 9/1 10.00 +900 9.00 9.00 -0.11 Ladbrokes
5.10 Kempton – Cape Banjo – 3/1 4.00 +300 3.00 3.00 -0.33 Bet365
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