It is in late autumn and winter that 3 year old sprinters come into their own against their elder rivals, and John Gosden’s promising son of Kyllachy could be on an upwards curve judged on his two recent runner up finishes. Both of those efforts were over todays 6 furlongs at Haydock in big fields, and with the old maestro Frankie Dettori back on board, the horse has a very clear and solid chance of winning. Gosden clearly thinks something of his horse as he has declined to put the 3 year old through a gelding operation.
Edward Lewis is an unexposed horse, but has so far shown a high level of consistency, finishing in the first three in five out of his seven starts. He never raced as a 2 year old but started his 3 year old campaign with three starts over 7 furlongs at high grade courses. Didn’t win those starts, but acquitted himself well and was allotted a mark of 82. Stayed in maiden company and then won next start when dropped back to 6 furlongs at Doncaster. Followed that up with a moderate effort at Newmarket and then went to Haydock, finishing second in a sixteen runner, Class 4 event. Went off at odds of 7/18.00+7007.007.00-0.14 that day and performed admirably, racing close to the pace and giving best late in the day. Stepped up in class next time out, again in a big field, and endured the filled the same position. Rob Havlin was the jockey that day and it is safe to say that Frankie is a better pilot, especially with horses who race close to the pace.
Edward Lewis is a potential improver, with just seven starts under his belt. From stall 16 he will again race handily and may even bag the stands side rail. Looks a really good each-way bet on good ground and should really go very close to winning.
Bet – 1 point each-way Edward Lewis at 7/24.50+3503.503.50-0.29 with Paddy Power and Coral.
4.55 Haydock – Brogan
Tom Dascombe loves to have a winner at Haydock and he could have a well handicapped horse in Brogan. The 2 year old filly by Pivotal enters her nursery debut off a mark of 74, just sneaking into Class 5 company, and with an inside draw on a turning track, she could well get her head in front.
All three of Brogan’s starts have come over 7 furlongs, and she has finished third twice and second last time out. Her last effort at Ffos Las was particularly agonizing, but gave hope for future progression under more suitable conditions. Ffos Las’s track is testing enough as it is, but the distance run over there is 7.5 furlongs, and that extra 110 yards caught her out. After striking for home, she was nailed close to the finish as the stamina ebbed away. Although galloping, Haydock is a far sharper track and is run over the standard 7 furlongs, so conditions should be ideal. Couple that with the fact that the horse is a front runner/likes to track the pace, and from her favourable inside draw, she should be able to ascertain a desirable early position. Kingscote is one of the best at Haydock and he is also in the upper echelons of the weighing room when it comes to riding horses close to the speed. His judge of pace is immaculate and if given an uncontested lead, it could be goodnight Vienna. At favourable odds of 9/25.50+4504.504.50-0.22 , she simply has to be supported on nursery debut.
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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